Compendium › Wrecking Ball › VOO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VOO
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+4.70%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,784.36
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$12,210.55
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:05:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 59%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.5/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
10.6/15
Profit Factor
12.5/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 61.3/100
× Confidence 0.59 = 36.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (59%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,654
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,210.55
Current Value
$12,784.36
Period P&L
$573.81
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
3.83

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+2.25%
Worst Trade
-0.40%
Avg Trade Return
+1.16%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$100,582.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$573.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$573.81
Gross Return
+4.70%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,210.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:40am ET $610.88 20 $12,210.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $620.63 20 $12,405.44 $12,405.44 +$194.89
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $626.40 20 $12,405.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $633.84 20 $12,552.78 $12,552.78 +$147.34
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $622.47 20 $12,552.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $636.49 20 $12,835.51 $12,835.51 +$282.73
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $621.05 21 $12,835.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $618.58 21 $12,784.36 $12,784.36 $-51.15
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,784.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,784.36
Total Return: +27.84%
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