VRTX Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 31 trades in period
+2.61%
Last 6 Months Return
$14,077.75
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$13,719.58
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
28.5/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
2.3/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
55.5/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 54.8
30-Day Momentum
18
+0.5%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.6
Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-37 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,018
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)
Market Closed (6 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,719.58
Current Value
$14,077.75
Period P&L
$358.17
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)
Trades in Period
31
Winners / Losers
15 /
16
Best Trade
+9.27%
Worst Trade
-4.21%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$897,359.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$358.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$358.17
Gross Return
+2.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.61%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 6 Months - 31 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,719.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:45am ET | $412.87 | 33 | $13,719.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $429.29 | 33 | $14,265.21 | $14,265.21 |
+$545.63 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $434.76 | 33 | $14,265.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $421.00 | 33 | $13,813.72 | $13,813.72 |
$-451.49 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:30pm ET | $425.95 | 32 | $13,813.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $424.00 | 32 | $13,750.64 | $13,750.64 |
$-63.08 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 10:05am ET | $426.37 | 32 | $13,750.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $463.22 | 32 | $14,939.07 | $14,939.07 |
+$1,188.43 (+8.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 10:25am ET | $456.59 | 33 | $14,939.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 3:55pm ET | $442.11 | 33 | $14,465.46 | $14,465.46 |
$-473.61 (-3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 10:30am ET | $439.34 | 33 | $14,465.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $446.08 | 33 | $14,687.38 | $14,687.38 |
+$221.92 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 9:55am ET | $452.35 | 32 | $14,687.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:55pm ET | $456.31 | 32 | $14,816.12 | $14,816.12 |
+$128.74 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $449.80 | 33 | $14,816.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $468.18 | 33 | $15,421.55 | $15,421.55 |
+$605.43 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $479.37 | 32 | $15,421.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $460.52 | 32 | $14,815.14 | $14,815.14 |
$-606.41 (-3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $444.51 | 33 | $14,815.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $441.98 | 33 | $14,730.82 | $14,730.82 |
$-84.32 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:15pm ET | $464.45 | 32 | $14,730.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $476.92 | 32 | $15,126.33 | $15,126.33 |
+$395.51 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $477.48 | 32 | $15,126.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $475.56 | 32 | $15,065.66 | $15,065.66 |
$-60.67 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 10:25am ET | $468.84 | 32 | $15,065.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $465.84 | 32 | $14,969.26 | $14,969.26 |
$-96.40 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET | $471.28 | 32 | $14,969.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $470.93 | 32 | $14,958.14 | $14,958.14 |
$-11.12 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 10:50am ET | $468.69 | 32 | $14,958.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $463.87 | 32 | $14,804.31 | $14,804.31 |
$-153.83 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $492.85 | 30 | $14,804.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $491.00 | 30 | $14,748.74 | $14,748.74 |
$-55.57 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $484.64 | 30 | $14,748.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $469.45 | 30 | $14,286.62 | $14,286.62 |
$-462.12 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $480.70 | 30 | $14,286.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $483.29 | 30 | $14,363.45 | $14,363.45 |
+$76.83 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $477.84 | 30 | $14,363.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $487.12 | 30 | $14,642.46 | $14,642.46 |
+$279.01 (+1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $479.06 | 31 | $14,642.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $460.65 | 31 | $14,079.76 | $14,079.76 |
$-562.70 (-3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET | $456.90 | 31 | $14,079.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $499.24 | 31 | $15,384.66 | $15,384.66 |
+$1,304.90 (+9.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:25am ET | $489.87 | 31 | $15,384.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $469.27 | 31 | $14,737.70 | $14,737.70 |
$-646.96 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:05am ET | $468.54 | 31 | $14,737.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $451.58 | 31 | $14,204.54 | $14,204.54 |
$-533.16 (-3.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 10:30am ET | $452.81 | 31 | $14,204.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $455.47 | 31 | $14,287.98 | $14,287.98 |
+$83.44 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $450.89 | 32 | $14,287.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $441.97 | 32 | $14,005.32 | $14,005.32 |
$-282.66 (-2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 11:35am ET | $442.51 | 32 | $14,005.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET | $431.45 | 32 | $13,655.12 | $13,655.12 |
$-350.20 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $437.80 | 31 | $13,655.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $444.27 | 31 | $13,857.23 | $13,857.23 |
+$202.11 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 10:30am ET | $440.48 | 31 | $13,857.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $441.23 | 31 | $13,880.67 | $13,880.67 |
+$23.44 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $431.96 | 32 | $13,880.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $434.84 | 32 | $13,973.05 | $13,973.05 |
+$92.38 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $428.49 | 33 | $13,973.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $430.69 | 33 | $14,044.79 | $14,044.79 |
+$71.74 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $424.05 | 33 | $14,044.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $425.04 | 33 | $14,077.75 | $14,077.75 |
+$32.96 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,077.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,077.75
Total Return:
+40.78%