Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:02:24

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.2/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
5.5/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 50.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 49.3

30-Day Momentum

10
+1.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 14.7 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$11,620.18
Current Value
$13,453.46
Period P&L
$1,833.28
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.59

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+11.49%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.93%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$453,062.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,833.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,833.28
Gross Return
+15.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $11,620.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:40am ET $324.29 36 $11,620.18
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.05 36 $11,826.76 $11,826.76 +$206.58
(+1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $320.70 37 $11,826.76
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $330.42 37 $12,185.40 $12,185.40 +$358.64
(+3.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.60 38 $12,185.40
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.76 38 $13,022.54 $13,022.54 +$837.14
(+6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $348.75 37 $13,022.54
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $341.88 37 $12,766.01 $12,766.01 $-256.53
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 10:40am ET $344.54 37 $12,766.01
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $384.13 37 $14,232.91 $14,232.91 +$1,466.90
(+11.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $377.23 38 $14,232.91
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 38 $13,820.14 $13,820.14 $-412.77
(-2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 38 $13,820.14
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 38 $13,953.33 $13,953.33 +$133.19
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 10:45am ET $381.92 37 $13,953.33
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $385.14 37 $14,070.97 $14,070.97 +$117.64
(+0.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $377.97 37 $14,070.97
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.88 37 $13,732.57 $13,732.57 $-338.40
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:40am ET $367.09 37 $13,732.57
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $368.33 37 $13,778.96 $13,778.96 +$46.39
(+0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $360.91 38 $13,778.96
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.92 38 $13,206.67 $13,206.67 $-572.29
(-4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $347.50 38 $13,206.67
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.79 38 $13,255.79 $13,255.79 +$49.12
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $347.77 38 $13,255.79
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.24 38 $13,045.01 $13,045.01 $-210.78
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $336.25 39 $13,045.01
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $351.95 39 $13,654.10 $13,654.10 +$609.09
(+4.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 39 $13,654.10
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 39 $13,781.68 $13,781.68 +$127.58
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:35am ET $352.43 39 $13,781.68
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.36 39 $13,661.63 $13,661.63 $-120.05
(-0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $343.56 40 $13,661.63
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.33 40 $13,453.46 $13,453.46 $-208.17
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,453.46
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,453.46
Total Return: +34.53%
Back to Wrecking Ball