AXP Wrecking Ball's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 33 trades in period
-11.76%
Year to Date Return
$14,753.03
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$16,719.75
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
64
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
33.3/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality
64.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 63.9
30-Day Momentum
5
-0.2%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8
Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-59 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,367
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$16,719.75
Current Value
$14,753.03
Period P&L
$-1,966.72
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
33
Winners / Losers
18 /
15
Best Trade
+3.22%
Worst Trade
-7.11%
Avg Trade Return
-0.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,033,865.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,966.72
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,966.72
Gross Return
-11.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.76%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 33 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $16,719.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $379.66 | 44 | $16,719.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $383.66 | 44 | $16,895.90 | $16,895.90 |
+$176.15 (+1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 10:25am ET | $377.61 | 45 | $16,895.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $382.95 | 45 | $17,134.83 | $17,134.83 |
+$238.93 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:25pm ET | $374.77 | 46 | $17,134.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $359.54 | 46 | $16,438.50 | $16,438.50 |
$-696.33 (-4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $352.60 | 47 | $16,438.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $357.38 | 47 | $16,661.58 | $16,661.58 |
+$223.08 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.35 | 47 | $16,661.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $359.76 | 47 | $16,773.95 | $16,773.95 |
+$112.37 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $361.48 | 46 | $16,773.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $363.26 | 46 | $16,856.55 | $16,856.55 |
+$82.60 (+0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:25am ET | $355.90 | 47 | $16,856.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $356.92 | 47 | $16,904.62 | $16,904.62 |
+$48.07 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $353.36 | 48 | $16,904.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $352.84 | 48 | $16,879.98 | $16,879.98 |
$-24.64 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 12:50pm ET | $348.27 | 48 | $16,879.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $353.65 | 48 | $17,140.74 | $17,140.74 |
+$260.76 (+1.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $349.83 | 49 | $17,140.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $359.14 | 49 | $17,596.91 | $17,596.91 |
+$456.17 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:35pm ET | $360.96 | 49 | $17,596.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $354.11 | 49 | $17,262.73 | $17,262.73 |
$-334.18 (-1.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET | $352.32 | 49 | $17,262.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $337.68 | 49 | $16,545.41 | $16,545.41 |
$-717.32 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $342.04 | 48 | $16,545.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $345.52 | 48 | $16,713.75 | $16,713.75 |
+$168.34 (+1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $341.11 | 49 | $16,713.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $320.41 | 49 | $15,699.49 | $15,699.49 |
$-1,014.26 (-6.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 12:00pm ET | $331.55 | 47 | $15,699.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $307.98 | 47 | $14,583.42 | $14,583.42 |
$-1,116.07 (-7.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $303.20 | 48 | $14,583.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $307.43 | 48 | $14,787.12 | $14,787.12 |
+$203.70 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.07 | 48 | $14,787.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $300.22 | 48 | $14,457.49 | $14,457.49 |
$-329.63 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $294.11 | 49 | $14,457.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $303.45 | 49 | $14,916.36 | $14,916.36 |
+$458.87 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 11:05am ET | $302.61 | 49 | $14,916.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $301.93 | 49 | $14,882.84 | $14,882.84 |
$-33.52 (-0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $301.37 | 49 | $14,882.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $298.05 | 49 | $14,718.88 | $14,718.88 |
$-163.96 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $302.52 | 49 | $14,718.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $293.92 | 49 | $14,300.45 | $14,300.45 |
$-418.43 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $292.26 | 49 | $14,300.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $293.93 | 49 | $14,382.41 | $14,382.41 |
+$81.96 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $299.23 | 48 | $14,382.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $300.57 | 48 | $14,446.58 | $14,446.58 |
+$64.17 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $299.03 | 48 | $14,446.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $292.46 | 48 | $14,129.42 | $14,129.42 |
$-317.16 (-2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 10:45am ET | $298.61 | 47 | $14,129.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET | $302.77 | 47 | $14,326.26 | $14,326.26 |
+$196.84 (+1.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $295.71 | 48 | $14,326.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $305.23 | 48 | $14,787.72 | $14,787.72 |
+$461.46 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:35am ET | $317.30 | 47 | $14,787.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $318.06 | 47 | $14,822.91 | $14,822.91 |
+$35.19 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $313.98 | 47 | $14,822.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $324.05 | 47 | $15,298.32 | $15,298.32 |
+$475.41 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $326.32 | 47 | $15,298.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $331.83 | 47 | $15,556.64 | $15,556.64 |
+$258.32 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $333.58 | 47 | $15,556.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $333.54 | 47 | $15,554.31 | $15,554.31 |
$-2.33 (-0.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $326.62 | 48 | $15,554.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $313.54 | 48 | $14,931.18 | $14,931.18 |
$-623.13 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $318.17 | 47 | $14,931.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $315.56 | 47 | $14,808.93 | $14,808.93 |
$-122.25 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $317.89 | 47 | $14,808.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $316.68 | 47 | $14,753.03 | $14,753.03 |
$-55.90 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,753.03
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,753.03
Total Return:
+47.53%