Compendium › Wrecking Ball › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 18 trades in period

+10.47%
Year to Date Return
$14,988.71
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$13,568.10
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:24:19

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

63
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
34.9/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 64.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 63.0

30-Day Momentum

31
+6.4%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 46.6 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,329
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,568.10
Current Value
$14,988.71
Period P&L
$1,420.61
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.68

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+9.52%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
+0.61%
Avg Hold Time
4.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$541,867.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,420.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,420.61
Gross Return
+10.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $13,568.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $341.12 40 $13,568.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.12 40 $13,886.19 $13,886.19 +$318.09
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $346.78 40 $13,886.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.81 40 $15,208.84 $15,208.84 +$1,322.65
(+9.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $373.29 41 $15,208.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.77 41 $15,636.03 $15,636.03 +$427.19
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 10:15am ET $382.66 41 $15,636.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $374.73 41 $15,312.00 $15,312.00 $-324.03
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 11:15am ET $384.81 40 $15,312.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $385.25 40 $15,329.51 $15,329.51 +$17.51
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:45am ET $380.45 40 $15,329.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.22 40 $15,723.17 $15,723.17 +$393.66
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $388.05 41 $15,723.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.48 41 $15,821.43 $15,821.43 +$98.26
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $388.19 41 $15,821.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $381.75 41 $15,558.96 $15,558.96 $-262.47
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:45am ET $376.18 41 $15,558.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.48 41 $15,530.01 $15,530.01 $-28.95
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $372.99 42 $15,530.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.06 42 $15,366.38 $15,366.38 $-163.63
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $365.05 42 $15,366.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $357.36 42 $15,042.68 $15,042.68 $-323.70
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 9:35am ET $354.33 42 $15,042.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.93 42 $14,558.71 $14,558.71 $-483.97
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $337.88 43 $14,558.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.16 43 $14,269.16 $14,269.16 $-289.55
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $325.94 44 $14,269.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $321.69 44 $14,083.10 $14,083.10 $-186.06
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $323.55 44 $14,083.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $335.93 44 $14,621.96 $14,621.96 +$538.86
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $331.64 44 $14,621.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $342.30 44 $15,092.18 $15,092.18 +$470.22
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 10:20am ET $338.86 45 $15,092.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.61 45 $15,615.28 $15,615.28 +$523.10
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:35am ET $336.51 46 $15,615.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $323.01 46 $14,988.71 $14,988.71 $-626.57
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,988.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,988.71
Total Return: +49.89%
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