Compendium › Wrecking Ball › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 20 trades in period

+7.89%
Year to Date Return
$16,593.76
Current Value
45%
Win Rate
$15,380.31
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 20:54:06

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

59
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
6.5/15
Profit Factor
6.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 68.8/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 59.3

30-Day Momentum

31
+12.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.2 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,223
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,380.31
Current Value
$16,593.76
Period P&L
$1,213.45
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
9 / 11
Best Trade
+17.08%
Worst Trade
-7.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$622,034.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,213.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,213.45
Gross Return
+7.89%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.89%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,380.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $297.60 52 $15,380.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $294.60 52 $15,225.27 $15,225.27 $-155.04
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $310.58 49 $15,225.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.69 49 $15,426.75 $15,426.75 +$201.48
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $283.43 54 $15,426.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.88 54 $16,267.68 $16,267.68 +$840.93
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET $284.76 57 $16,267.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.02 57 $14,968.57 $14,968.57 $-1,299.11
(-8.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $257.68 58 $14,968.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $256.48 58 $14,898.57 $14,898.57 $-70.00
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET $249.06 60 $14,898.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.03 60 $14,238.76 $14,238.76 $-659.81
(-4.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET $236.79 60 $14,238.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $245.01 60 $14,733.66 $14,733.66 +$494.90
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET $252.29 58 $14,733.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $249.81 58 $14,588.54 $14,588.54 $-145.12
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $243.98 60 $14,588.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $242.06 60 $14,474.03 $14,474.03 $-114.51
(-0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $237.80 61 $14,474.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $241.95 61 $14,726.63 $14,726.63 +$252.60
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $236.43 62 $14,726.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $237.77 62 $14,810.41 $14,810.41 +$83.78
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 64 $14,810.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $228.57 64 $14,665.72 $14,665.72 $-144.69
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:55am ET $225.15 65 $14,665.72 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.73 65 $14,312.36 $14,312.36 $-353.36
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:40am ET $213.73 67 $14,312.36 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $219.86 67 $14,722.85 $14,722.85 +$410.49
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $216.93 68 $14,722.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $253.98 68 $17,237.40 $17,237.40 +$2,514.55
(+17.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 70 $17,237.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $264.36 70 $18,435.29 $18,435.29 +$1,197.89
(+6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $317.13 58 $18,435.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.80 58 $17,776.94 $17,776.94 $-658.35
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $294.71 60 $17,776.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $277.48 60 $16,737.32 $16,737.32 $-1,039.62
(-5.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $272.48 61 $16,737.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $273.23 61 $16,783.39 $16,783.39 +$46.07
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $265.52 63 $16,783.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.52 63 $16,593.76 $16,593.76 $-189.63
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,593.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,593.76
Total Return: +65.94%
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