Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 5 trades in period

-5.00%
Year to Date Return
$12,155.22
Current Value
20%
Win Rate
$12,795.53
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:04:32

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.1/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 43.7/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 36.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,243
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
89 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,795.53
Current Value
$12,155.22
Period P&L
$-640.31
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
1 / 4
Best Trade
+0.97%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
-1.01%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$125,584.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-640.31
Net P&L (after fees)
$-640.31
Gross Return
-5.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 89 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $12,795.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $301.20 42 $12,795.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $304.12 42 $12,919.79 $12,919.79 +$124.26
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $330.05 39 $12,919.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $327.86 39 $12,833.87 $12,833.87 $-85.92
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:40am ET $321.95 40 $12,833.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $308.59 40 $12,301.30 $12,301.30 $-532.57
(-4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 10:00am ET $305.69 40 $12,301.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $304.72 40 $12,262.08 $12,262.08 $-39.22
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $296.05 41 $12,262.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $293.46 41 $12,155.22 $12,155.22 $-106.86
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,155.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,155.22
Total Return: +21.55%
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