Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:17:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

65
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
5.0/15
Profit Factor
5.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 67.0/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 65.0

30-Day Momentum

39
+5.2%
30d Return
80%
Win Rate
5
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 55.8 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,437
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$14,768.00
Current Value
$16,633.22
Period P&L
$1,865.22
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
12 / 8
Best Trade
+4.10%
Worst Trade
-3.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.62%
Avg Hold Time
3.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$621,224.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,865.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,865.22
Gross Return
+12.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $14,768.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:00am ET $478.95 31 $14,768.00
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $478.51 31 $14,754.43 $14,754.43 $-13.57
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:35am ET $478.93 31 $14,754.43
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $477.19 31 $14,700.83 $14,700.83 $-53.60
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET $464.66 32 $14,700.83
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $459.87 32 $14,549.28 $14,549.28 $-151.55
(-1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $449.43 32 $14,549.28
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $465.81 32 $15,079.68 $15,079.68 +$530.40
(+3.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $432.00 35 $15,079.68
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.31 35 $14,776.34 $14,776.34 $-303.34
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $405.70 36 $14,776.34
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.50 36 $15,060.43 $15,060.43 +$284.09
(+1.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $409.70 37 $15,060.43
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.82 37 $14,734.00 $14,734.00 $-326.43
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $396.91 37 $14,734.00
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $398.48 37 $14,792.28 $14,792.28 +$58.28
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET $388.43 38 $14,792.28
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.58 38 $15,254.98 $15,254.98 +$462.70
(+3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $390.58 39 $15,254.98
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $403.69 39 $15,767.02 $15,767.02 +$512.04
(+3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $404.76 39 $15,767.02
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $409.41 39 $15,948.16 $15,948.16 +$181.14
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $404.66 39 $15,948.16
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $402.42 39 $15,859.64 $15,859.64 $-88.52
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET $397.94 40 $15,859.64
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $399.43 40 $15,919.22 $15,919.22 +$59.58
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $384.38 41 $15,919.22
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $372.54 41 $15,428.86 $15,428.86 $-490.36
(-3.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $361.72 43 $15,428.86
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $370.52 43 $15,804.00 $15,804.00 +$375.14
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.58 43 $15,804.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.62 43 $16,065.11 $16,065.11 +$261.11
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $368.73 44 $16,065.11
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.86 44 $16,724.09 $16,724.09 +$658.98
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 39 $16,724.09
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.89 39 $16,728.43 $16,728.43 +$4.34
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 40 $16,728.43
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.05 40 $16,964.71 $16,964.71 +$236.28
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $422.21 40 $16,964.71
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.96 40 $16,633.22 $16,633.22 $-331.49
(-2.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,633.22
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,633.22
Total Return: +66.33%
Back to Wrecking Ball