Compendium › Wrecking Ball › MU
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MU
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 27 trades in period

+263.07%
Year to Date Return
$72,440.99
Current Value
74%
Win Rate
$19,952.59
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 11:44:41

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

82
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
23.2/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
10.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 83.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 82.2

30-Day Momentum

29
+13.9%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-53 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,919
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
124 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$19,952.59
Current Value
$72,440.99
Period P&L
$52,488.40
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.68

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
27
Winners / Losers
20 / 7
Best Trade
+21.75%
Worst Trade
-16.02%
Avg Trade Return
+5.31%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,253,508.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$52,488.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$52,488.40
Gross Return
+263.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+263.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 124 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 27 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $19,952.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $289.31 70 $20,204.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $343.35 70 $23,978.72 $23,978.72 +$3,774.02
(+18.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:55am ET $328.58 73 $23,978.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.18 73 $24,679.36 $24,679.36 +$700.64
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 10:35am ET $355.35 69 $24,679.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $397.59 69 $27,612.96 $27,612.96 +$2,933.60
(+11.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $389.13 71 $27,612.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $435.79 71 $30,924.39 $30,924.39 +$3,311.43
(+12.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 1:35pm ET $423.31 73 $30,924.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $379.75 73 $27,742.17 $27,742.17 $-3,182.22
(-10.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 9:40am ET $375.74 74 $27,742.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $410.35 74 $30,297.14 $30,297.14 +$2,554.97
(+9.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $415.93 73 $30,297.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $410.64 73 $29,911.81 $29,911.81 $-385.33
(-1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $400.61 75 $29,911.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $427.20 75 $31,897.27 $31,897.27 +$1,985.46
(+6.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET $419.30 76 $31,897.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $414.09 76 $31,501.31 $31,501.31 $-395.96
(-1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $403.24 78 $31,501.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $401.55 78 $31,369.29 $31,369.29 $-132.02
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $395.20 79 $31,369.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $402.17 79 $31,922.14 $31,922.14 +$552.85
(+1.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $408.49 78 $31,922.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $460.18 78 $35,961.54 $35,961.54 +$4,039.40
(+12.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $424.00 85 $35,961.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $396.89 85 $33,662.21 $33,662.21 $-2,299.33
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 88 $33,662.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $322.48 88 $28,420.98 $28,420.98 $-5,241.23
(-15.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:40am ET $314.28 90 $28,420.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $377.80 90 $34,165.22 $34,165.22 +$5,744.24
(+20.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:45am ET $373.24 92 $34,165.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $420.11 92 $38,455.10 $38,455.10 +$4,289.88
(+12.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET $415.50 93 $38,455.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $455.74 93 $42,179.37 $42,179.37 +$3,724.27
(+9.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 10:30am ET $458.08 92 $42,179.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $486.22 92 $44,770.46 $44,770.46 +$2,591.09
(+6.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $478.16 94 $44,770.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $503.91 94 $47,181.45 $47,181.45 +$2,410.99
(+5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $513.65 92 $47,181.45 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $577.58 92 $53,053.30 $53,053.30 +$5,871.85
(+12.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
21 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $629.81 84 $53,053.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $743.80 84 $62,655.47 $62,655.47 +$9,602.17
(+18.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
22 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 10:30am ET $770.80 81 $62,655.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $781.55 81 $63,529.30 $63,529.30 +$873.83
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
23 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $731.76 87 $63,529.30 — — —
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $732.31 87 $63,577.05 $63,577.05 +$47.75
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
24 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $757.41 84 $63,577.05 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $922.15 84 $77,404.54 $77,404.54 +$13,827.49
(+21.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $1,028.82 75 $77,404.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $864.02 75 $65,005.61 $65,005.61 $-12,398.93
(-16.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $939.84 69 $65,005.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $991.42 69 $68,573.22 $68,573.22 +$3,567.61
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 11:05am ET $992.76 69 $68,573.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,048.76 69 $72,440.99 $72,440.99 +$3,867.77
(+5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $72,440.99
Net Profit/Loss: +$62,440.99
Total Return: +624.41%
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