Compendium › Wrecking Ball › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Wrecking Ball's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 16 trades in period

+15.27%
Year to Date Return
$18,426.07
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$15,985.12
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:00

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

73
Lifetime
Confidence: 94%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
9.4/15
Profit Factor
8.9/15
Consistency
8.2/10
Raw Quality 77.6/100
× Confidence 0.94 = 73.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (94%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,502
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$15,985.12
Current Value
$18,426.07
Period P&L
$2,440.95
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
12 / 4
Best Trade
+2.65%
Worst Trade
-1.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$547,034.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,440.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,440.95
Gross Return
+15.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $15,985.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:50am ET $615.14 26 $15,985.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $623.47 26 $16,201.59 $16,201.59 +$216.47
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:25am ET $619.17 26 $16,201.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $621.04 26 $16,250.52 $16,250.52 +$48.93
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $608.50 27 $16,250.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $622.78 27 $16,631.88 $16,631.88 +$381.36
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $626.19 27 $16,631.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $626.22 27 $16,632.68 $16,632.68 +$0.80
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $601.21 28 $16,632.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $614.32 28 $16,995.37 $16,995.37 +$362.69
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $609.76 28 $16,995.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $601.26 28 $16,758.46 $16,758.46 $-236.91
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:15am ET $594.59 28 $16,758.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $603.15 28 $16,999.72 $16,999.72 +$241.26
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $608.11 28 $16,999.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.72 28 $17,016.77 $17,016.77 +$17.05
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $596.14 29 $17,016.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.51 29 $17,369.87 $17,369.87 +$353.10
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $600.04 29 $17,369.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $606.95 29 $17,569.90 $17,569.90 +$200.03
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $600.22 29 $17,569.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.03 29 $17,564.34 $17,564.34 $-5.56
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $589.22 30 $17,564.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $589.13 30 $17,561.66 $17,561.66 $-2.68
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $583.56 30 $17,561.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $573.75 30 $17,266.44 $17,266.44 $-295.22
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $568.35 30 $17,266.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $577.44 30 $17,542.59 $17,542.59 +$276.15
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 31 $17,542.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $587.87 31 $17,949.80 $17,949.80 +$407.21
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $646.92 28 $17,949.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $664.09 28 $18,426.07 $18,426.07 +$476.27
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,426.07
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,426.07
Total Return: +84.26%
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