IBM Wrecking Ball's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 39 trades executed
+59.90%
2 Years Return
$14,665.72
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$9,171.79
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
54
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
32.7/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
65.8/100
× Confidence 0.82
= 53.8
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,055
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$9,171.79
Current Value
$14,665.72
Total P&L
$5,493.93
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
36
Winners / Losers
22 /
14
Best Trade
+15.17%
Worst Trade
-7.99%
Avg Trade Return
+1.38%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$910,606.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,493.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,493.93
Gross Return
+59.90%
Net Return (after fees)
+59.90%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Wrecking Ball had $9,171.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2024 9:50am ET | $166.37 | 55 | $9,171.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $167.52 | 55 | $9,235.19 | $9,235.19 |
+$63.40 (+0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2024 10:00am ET | $166.84 | 55 | $9,235.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 13, 2024 3:55pm ET | $169.03 | 55 | $9,356.41 | $9,356.41 |
+$121.22 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET | $182.19 | 51 | $9,356.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2024 3:55pm ET | $186.87 | 51 | $9,596.75 | $9,596.75 |
+$240.34 (+2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET | $218.50 | 44 | $9,596.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 28, 2024 3:55pm ET | $212.91 | 44 | $9,351.23 | $9,351.23 |
$-245.52 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2024 9:55am ET | $218.16 | 43 | $9,351.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $220.04 | 43 | $9,432.03 | $9,432.03 |
+$80.80 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $247.29 | 38 | $9,432.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $253.10 | 38 | $9,653.63 | $9,653.63 |
+$221.60 (+2.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2025 10:20am ET | $251.84 | 38 | $9,653.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $245.63 | 38 | $9,415.59 | $9,415.59 |
$-238.04 (-2.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2025 9:40am ET | $247.24 | 38 | $9,415.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $243.34 | 38 | $9,267.07 | $9,267.07 |
$-148.52 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2025 10:15am ET | $243.94 | 38 | $9,267.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $243.59 | 38 | $9,253.77 | $9,253.77 |
$-13.30 (-0.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET | $220.17 | 42 | $9,253.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $235.31 | 42 | $9,890.33 | $9,890.33 |
+$636.56 (+6.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 3:40pm ET | $226.07 | 44 | $9,890.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $239.24 | 44 | $10,466.74 | $10,466.74 |
+$576.41 (+5.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $227.07 | 46 | $10,466.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $236.13 | 46 | $10,884.36 | $10,884.36 |
+$417.62 (+4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:50am ET | $234.92 | 46 | $10,884.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $245.36 | 46 | $11,368.27 | $11,368.27 |
+$483.91 (+4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | May 9, 2025 9:55am ET | $250.56 | 45 | $11,368.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $258.50 | 45 | $11,728.52 | $11,728.52 |
+$360.25 (+3.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 20, 2025 9:30am ET | $278.05 | 42 | $11,728.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $293.85 | 42 | $12,395.21 | $12,395.21 |
+$666.69 (+5.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2025 10:00am ET | $282.74 | 44 | $12,395.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $283.86 | 44 | $12,444.31 | $12,444.31 |
+$49.10 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET | $258.76 | 48 | $12,444.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $263.21 | 48 | $12,658.56 | $12,658.56 |
+$214.25 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $249.90 | 51 | $12,658.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $250.67 | 51 | $12,697.56 | $12,697.56 |
+$39.00 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $271.79 | 47 | $12,697.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $313.01 | 47 | $14,623.29 | $14,623.29 |
+$1,925.73 (+15.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 10:15am ET | $302.10 | 48 | $14,623.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $300.84 | 48 | $14,562.29 | $14,562.29 |
$-61.00 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 7, 2025 9:35am ET | $305.45 | 48 | $14,562.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $313.81 | 48 | $14,960.83 | $14,960.83 |
+$398.54 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET | $291.22 | 51 | $14,960.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $290.44 | 51 | $14,921.00 | $14,921.00 |
$-39.83 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET | $297.40 | 50 | $14,921.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET | $308.58 | 50 | $15,482.18 | $15,482.18 |
+$561.18 (+3.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:15am ET | $302.45 | 51 | $15,482.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $300.46 | 51 | $15,380.31 | $15,380.31 |
$-101.87 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.60 | 52 | $15,380.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $294.60 | 52 | $15,225.27 | $15,225.27 |
$-155.04 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET | $310.58 | 49 | $15,225.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 3:55pm ET | $314.69 | 49 | $15,426.75 | $15,426.75 |
+$201.48 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $283.43 | 54 | $15,426.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $298.88 | 54 | $16,267.68 | $16,267.68 |
+$840.93 (+5.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 10:10am ET | $284.76 | 57 | $16,267.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $262.02 | 57 | $14,968.57 | $14,968.57 |
$-1,299.11 (-8.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $257.68 | 58 | $14,968.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $256.48 | 58 | $14,898.57 | $14,898.57 |
$-70.00 (-0.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 10:25am ET | $249.06 | 60 | $14,898.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $238.03 | 60 | $14,238.76 | $14,238.76 |
$-659.81 (-4.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $236.79 | 60 | $14,238.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET | $245.01 | 60 | $14,733.66 | $14,733.66 |
+$494.90 (+3.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:45am ET | $252.29 | 58 | $14,733.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $249.81 | 58 | $14,588.54 | $14,588.54 |
$-145.12 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $243.98 | 60 | $14,588.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $242.06 | 60 | $14,474.03 | $14,474.03 |
$-114.51 (-0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $237.80 | 61 | $14,474.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $241.95 | 61 | $14,726.63 | $14,726.63 |
+$252.60 (+1.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET | $236.43 | 62 | $14,726.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $237.77 | 62 | $14,810.41 | $14,810.41 |
+$83.78 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.82 | 64 | $14,810.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $228.57 | 64 | $14,665.72 | $14,665.72 |
$-144.69 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,665.72
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,665.72
Total Return:
+46.66%