Compendium › Yield Squeeze › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-07 to present • 6 trades in period

+4.55%
Last Year Return
$10,837.75
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$10,366.14
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:36:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
27.5/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,830
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,366.14
Current Value
$10,837.75
Period P&L
$471.61
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+4.59%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.18%
Avg Hold Time
4.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$131,436.27
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$471.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$471.61
Gross Return
+4.55%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.55%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,366.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $111.49 91 $10,130.79 — — —
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $116.61 91 $10,596.03 $10,596.03 +$465.24
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $134.00 79 $10,596.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $135.49 79 $10,714.25 $10,714.25 +$118.22
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 9:50am ET $136.31 79 $10,714.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $141.84 79 $11,148.92 $11,148.92 +$434.67
(+4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:35am ET $168.53 66 $11,148.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $173.48 66 $11,476.39 $11,476.39 +$327.47
(+2.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 15, 2025 9:50am ET $178.16 64 $11,476.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $175.39 64 $11,298.27 $11,298.27 $-178.12
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2025 9:50am ET $177.87 64 $11,298.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $170.62 64 $10,837.75 $10,837.75 $-460.52
(-4.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,837.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$837.75
Total Return: +8.38%
Back to Yield Squeeze