Compendium › Yield Squeeze › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 4 trades in period

-7.68%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,764.87
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$11,660.34
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 05:20:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.4/35
Total Return
7.8/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 25.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 18.8

30-Day Momentum

1
-7.7%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,660.34
Current Value
$10,764.87
Period P&L
$-895.47
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.76

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+1.22%
Worst Trade
-5.33%
Avg Trade Return
-1.94%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,577.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-895.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-895.47
Gross Return
-7.68%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $11,660.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $940.00 12 $11,660.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:55pm ET $951.45 12 $11,802.37 $11,802.37 +$142.03
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $939.69 13 $11,802.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $907.93 13 $11,403.47 $11,403.47 $-398.90
(-3.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET $906.58 13 $11,403.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $903.96 13 $11,370.51 $11,370.51 $-32.96
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $900.42 13 $11,370.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $852.46 13 $10,764.87 $10,764.87 $-605.64
(-5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,764.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$764.87
Total Return: +7.65%
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