Compendium › Yield Squeeze › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 4 trades in period

+2.93%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,289.85
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,968.01
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 05:20:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.4/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,968.01
Current Value
$11,289.85
Period P&L
$321.84
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.90

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+1.65%
Worst Trade
-0.17%
Avg Trade Return
+0.73%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$89,479.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$321.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$321.84
Gross Return
+2.93%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,968.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $365.58 30 $10,968.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $371.62 30 $11,149.22 $11,149.22 +$181.21
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $423.78 26 $11,149.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $423.89 26 $11,152.11 $11,152.11 +$2.89
(+0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $419.14 27 $11,152.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $425.05 27 $11,309.63 $11,309.63 +$157.52
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:35am ET $414.63 27 $11,309.63 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.90 27 $11,289.85 $11,289.85 $-19.78
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,289.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,289.85
Total Return: +12.90%
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