Compendium › Yield Squeeze › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-07 to present • 8 trades in period

+20.94%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,009.27
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$10,756.95
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:33:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.5/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
11.8/15
Profit Factor
9.2/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 57.1/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 42.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,756.95
Current Value
$13,009.27
Period P&L
$2,252.32
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.17

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
6 / 2
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-0.65%
Avg Trade Return
+2.43%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,182.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,252.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,252.32
Gross Return
+20.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.94%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,756.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $138.34 78 $10,756.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.43 78 $10,686.58 $10,686.58 $-70.37
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $136.07 79 $10,686.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $140.46 79 $11,030.97 $11,030.97 +$344.39
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $138.25 80 $11,030.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $138.70 80 $11,066.48 $11,066.48 +$35.51
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:55am ET $136.82 81 $11,066.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.79 81 $11,063.65 $11,063.65 $-2.83
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $129.30 86 $11,063.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $134.84 86 $11,537.87 $11,537.87 +$474.22
(+4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $132.40 87 $11,537.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.29 87 $11,963.57 $11,963.57 +$425.70
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $155.39 77 $11,963.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $160.52 77 $12,358.92 $12,358.92 +$395.35
(+3.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $161.34 77 $12,358.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $169.83 77 $13,009.27 $13,009.27 +$650.35
(+5.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,009.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,009.27
Total Return: +30.09%
Back to Yield Squeeze