Compendium › Yield Squeeze › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 7 trades in period

-7.01%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,997.34
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$13,977.63
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 06:30:25

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
21.0/35
Total Return
12.4/25
Win Rate
11.1/15
Profit Factor
8.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 58.5/100
× Confidence 0.75 = 43.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,743
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,977.63
Current Value
$12,997.34
Period P&L
$-980.29
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+1.37%
Worst Trade
-4.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.88%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$195,165.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-980.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-980.29
Gross Return
-7.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $13,977.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 11:20am ET $363.56 38 $13,851.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $368.55 38 $14,042.02 $14,042.02 +$190.12
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:20am ET $348.14 40 $14,042.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $352.87 40 $14,232.80 $14,232.80 +$190.78
(+1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET $366.46 39 $14,232.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $363.90 39 $14,133.37 $14,133.37 $-99.43
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $376.96 37 $14,133.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.62 37 $14,083.32 $14,083.32 $-50.05
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:15pm ET $353.24 40 $14,083.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $354.33 40 $14,126.78 $14,126.78 +$43.46
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:45am ET $352.32 40 $14,126.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $337.68 40 $13,539.77 $13,539.77 $-587.01
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $326.62 41 $13,539.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $313.54 41 $12,997.34 $12,997.34 $-542.43
(-4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,997.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,997.34
Total Return: +29.97%
Back to Yield Squeeze