Compendium › Yield Squeeze › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-07 to present • 5 trades in period

+9.00%
Last 6 Months Return
$10,875.68
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$9,977.24
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:51:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 49%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 0.49 = 12.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (49%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,572
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,977.24
Current Value
$10,875.68
Period P&L
$898.44
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+10.83%
Worst Trade
-3.01%
Avg Trade Return
+1.86%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$104,819.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$898.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$898.44
Gross Return
+9.00%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $9,977.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $49.50 202 $9,977.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $49.16 202 $9,909.71 $9,909.71 $-67.53
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $49.26 201 $9,909.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $54.60 201 $10,983.29 $10,983.29 +$1,073.58
(+10.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET $53.96 204 $10,983.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $52.34 204 $10,652.92 $10,652.92 $-330.37
(-3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $49.32 216 $10,652.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $48.32 216 $10,437.57 $10,437.57 $-215.35
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $46.76 223 $10,437.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $48.72 223 $10,875.68 $10,875.68 +$438.11
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,875.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$875.68
Total Return: +8.76%
Back to Yield Squeeze