Compendium › Yield Squeeze › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

to 2026-06-18 19:55:00+00 • 14 trades executed

+11.13%
2 Years Return
$11,112.51
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 07:54:08

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
9.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 42.2/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 27.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
84,450
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,112.51
Total P&L
$1,112.51
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+3.55%
Worst Trade
-1.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.77%
Avg Hold Time
3.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$290,792.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,112.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,112.51
Gross Return
+11.13%
Net Return (after fees)
+11.13%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $559.06 18 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $565.09 18 $10,107.86 $10,107.86 +$107.86
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $557.10 18 $10,107.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $560.19 18 $10,163.92 $10,163.92 +$56.06
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:40am ET $574.02 18 $10,163.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $580.47 18 $10,278.13 $10,278.13 +$114.21
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $604.54 17 $10,278.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $598.05 17 $10,167.79 $10,167.79 $-110.34
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $597.61 17 $10,167.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $596.33 17 $10,146.01 $10,146.01 $-21.78
(-0.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $598.03 17 $10,146.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $619.25 17 $10,506.02 $10,506.02 +$360.01
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET $617.74 17 $10,506.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $611.80 17 $10,404.98 $10,404.98 $-101.04
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $609.76 17 $10,404.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $601.26 17 $10,259.94 $10,259.94 $-145.04
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $608.11 17 $10,259.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.72 17 $10,270.23 $10,270.23 +$10.29
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $596.14 17 $10,270.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.51 17 $10,483.34 $10,483.34 +$213.11
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $600.04 17 $10,483.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $606.95 17 $10,604.07 $10,604.07 +$120.73
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $600.22 18 $10,604.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.03 18 $10,600.71 $10,600.71 $-3.36
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 18 $10,600.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $587.87 18 $10,846.78 $10,846.78 +$246.07
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $696.57 16 $10,846.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $713.63 16 $11,112.51 $11,112.51 +$265.73
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,112.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,112.51
Total Return: +11.13%
Back to Yield Squeeze