Compendium › Yield Squeeze › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

to 2026-05-07 17:45:00+00 • 13 trades executed

+8.76%
2 Years Return
$10,875.68
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:49:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 49%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
2.3/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 24.3/100
× Confidence 0.49 = 12.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (49%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,561
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
536 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,875.68
Total P&L
$875.68
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+10.83%
Worst Trade
-11.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.82%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$266,662.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$875.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$875.68
Gross Return
+8.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 536 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $23.58 424 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $20.93 424 $8,876.17 $8,876.17 $-1,123.83
(-11.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 12:50pm ET $33.58 264 $8,876.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $36.67 264 $9,694.39 $9,694.39 +$818.22
(+9.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 9:50am ET $42.84 226 $9,694.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $44.21 226 $10,003.28 $10,003.28 +$308.89
(+3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $42.96 233 $10,003.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $45.20 233 $10,524.93 $10,524.93 +$521.65
(+5.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:55am ET $44.94 234 $10,524.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $44.53 234 $10,428.91 $10,428.91 $-96.02
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2025 9:35am ET $49.07 213 $10,428.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $51.32 213 $10,906.04 $10,906.04 +$477.13
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $52.53 208 $10,906.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $50.57 208 $10,499.11 $10,499.11 $-406.93
(-3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $56.23 187 $10,499.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $53.44 187 $9,977.24 $9,977.24 $-521.87
(-5.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $49.50 202 $9,977.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $49.16 202 $9,909.71 $9,909.71 $-67.53
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $49.26 201 $9,909.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $54.60 201 $10,983.29 $10,983.29 +$1,073.58
(+10.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:20am ET $53.96 204 $10,983.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $52.34 204 $10,652.92 $10,652.92 $-330.37
(-3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $49.32 216 $10,652.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $48.32 216 $10,437.57 $10,437.57 $-215.35
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $46.76 223 $10,437.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $48.72 223 $10,875.68 $10,875.68 +$438.11
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,875.68
Net Profit/Loss: +$875.68
Total Return: +8.76%
Back to Yield Squeeze