Compendium › Yield Squeeze › QQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
QQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 7 trades in period

+6.80%
Year to Date Return
$11,112.51
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,404.98
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-21 07:54:07

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
9.0/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
9.3/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 42.2/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 27.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,896
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
122 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,404.98
Current Value
$11,112.51
Period P&L
$707.53
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
—

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+2.45%
Worst Trade
-1.39%
Avg Trade Return
+0.95%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$147,647.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$707.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$707.53
Gross Return
+6.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 122 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,404.98 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:45am ET $609.76 17 $10,404.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $601.26 17 $10,259.94 $10,259.94 $-145.04
(-1.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $608.11 17 $10,259.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.72 17 $10,270.23 $10,270.23 +$10.29
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $596.14 17 $10,270.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $608.51 17 $10,483.34 $10,483.34 +$213.11
(+2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:50am ET $600.04 17 $10,483.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $606.95 17 $10,604.07 $10,604.07 +$120.73
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $600.22 18 $10,604.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $600.03 18 $10,600.71 $10,600.71 $-3.36
(-0.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $574.53 18 $10,600.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $587.87 18 $10,846.78 $10,846.78 +$246.07
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $696.57 16 $10,846.78 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $713.63 16 $11,112.51 $11,112.51 +$265.73
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,112.51
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,112.51
Total Return: +11.13%
Back to Yield Squeeze