COIN Yield Squeeze's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 33 trades executed
+2.74%
2 Years Return
$10,273.52
Current Value
48%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
11
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
4.8/25
Win Rate
3.2/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality
14.7/100
× Confidence 0.77
= 11.4
30-Day Momentum
0
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0
Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,520
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,273.52
Total P&L
$273.52
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
33
Winners / Losers
16 /
17
Best Trade
+6.60%
Worst Trade
-6.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.16%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$697,403.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$273.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$273.52
Gross Return
+2.74%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.74%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2025 10:15am ET | $174.48 | 57 | $10,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $172.30 | 57 | $9,875.06 | $9,875.06 |
$-124.94 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $202.62 | 49 | $9,875.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $196.89 | 49 | $9,595.80 | $9,595.80 |
$-279.26 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2025 10:05am ET | $260.48 | 37 | $9,595.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $258.88 | 37 | $9,536.86 | $9,536.86 |
$-58.94 (-0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | May 23, 2025 9:30am ET | $267.17 | 36 | $9,536.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET | $266.35 | 36 | $9,507.77 | $9,507.77 |
$-29.09 (-0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET | $254.34 | 37 | $9,507.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $248.90 | 37 | $9,304.59 | $9,304.59 |
$-203.18 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2025 10:30am ET | $351.76 | 26 | $9,304.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $374.97 | 26 | $9,918.53 | $9,918.53 |
+$613.94 (+6.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2025 10:20am ET | $351.75 | 28 | $9,918.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $373.84 | 28 | $10,541.36 | $10,541.36 |
+$622.83 (+6.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 11, 2025 10:55am ET | $383.70 | 27 | $10,541.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $394.05 | 27 | $10,825.70 | $10,825.70 |
+$284.34 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2025 2:35pm ET | $383.04 | 28 | $10,825.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $398.14 | 28 | $11,252.32 | $11,252.32 |
+$426.62 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2025 12:10pm ET | $426.26 | 26 | $11,252.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $404.42 | 26 | $10,675.66 | $10,675.66 |
$-576.66 (-5.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2025 1:25pm ET | $388.70 | 27 | $10,675.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $396.57 | 27 | $10,891.81 | $10,891.81 |
+$216.15 (+2.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2025 9:40am ET | $387.75 | 28 | $10,891.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $371.44 | 28 | $10,433.67 | $10,433.67 |
$-458.14 (-4.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 8, 2025 10:15am ET | $305.84 | 34 | $10,433.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $319.65 | 34 | $10,904.80 | $10,904.80 |
+$471.13 (+4.5%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $307.92 | 35 | $10,904.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $308.66 | 35 | $10,931.01 | $10,931.01 |
+$26.21 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2025 12:40pm ET | $303.32 | 36 | $10,931.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $306.82 | 36 | $11,057.14 | $11,057.14 |
+$126.13 (+1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2025 10:05am ET | $323.75 | 34 | $11,057.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $320.49 | 34 | $10,945.97 | $10,945.97 |
$-111.17 (-1.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2025 10:35am ET | $330.40 | 33 | $10,945.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2025 3:55pm ET | $321.77 | 33 | $10,660.06 | $10,660.06 |
$-285.91 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 3, 2025 10:35am ET | $375.98 | 28 | $10,660.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $386.06 | 28 | $10,945.77 | $10,945.77 |
+$285.71 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET | $382.90 | 29 | $10,945.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $357.03 | 29 | $10,206.13 | $10,206.13 |
$-739.64 (-6.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET | $324.49 | 31 | $10,206.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET | $343.79 | 31 | $10,813.17 | $10,813.17 |
+$607.04 (+5.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 31, 2025 12:10pm ET | $354.12 | 31 | $10,813.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 3, 2025 3:55pm ET | $330.39 | 31 | $10,088.71 | $10,088.71 |
$-724.46 (-6.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 2:50pm ET | $307.69 | 33 | $10,088.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $319.21 | 33 | $10,466.43 | $10,466.43 |
+$377.72 (+3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $249.05 | 42 | $10,466.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $264.97 | 42 | $11,135.70 | $11,135.70 |
+$669.27 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:50am ET | $265.10 | 42 | $11,135.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 3:55pm ET | $263.21 | 42 | $11,056.37 | $11,056.37 |
$-79.33 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 9:50am ET | $273.18 | 40 | $11,056.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $269.81 | 40 | $10,919.98 | $10,919.98 |
$-136.39 (-1.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 1:55pm ET | $272.97 | 40 | $10,919.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $277.37 | 40 | $11,096.00 | $11,096.00 |
+$176.02 (+1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $266.64 | 42 | $11,096.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 3:55pm ET | $267.65 | 42 | $11,138.03 | $11,138.03 |
+$42.03 (+0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 2:55pm ET | $251.00 | 44 | $11,138.03 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $252.62 | 44 | $11,209.92 | $11,209.92 |
+$71.89 (+0.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 17, 2025 1:35pm ET | $248.31 | 45 | $11,209.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $239.20 | 45 | $10,798.65 | $10,798.65 |
$-411.27 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $248.86 | 43 | $10,798.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $241.16 | 43 | $10,464.53 | $10,464.53 |
$-334.12 (-3.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.01 | 63 | $10,464.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $175.27 | 63 | $11,047.91 | $11,047.91 |
+$583.38 (+5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:30am ET | $180.84 | 61 | $11,047.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $168.92 | 61 | $10,319.69 | $10,319.69 |
$-728.22 (-6.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $212.34 | 49 | $10,319.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $211.38 | 49 | $10,273.52 | $10,273.52 |
$-46.17 (-0.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,273.52
Net Profit/Loss:
+$273.52
Total Return:
+2.74%