Compendium › Yield Squeeze › HD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
HD
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Squeeze's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 10 trades executed

-7.42%
2 Years Return
$9,258.18
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:14:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

1
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.5/10
Raw Quality 2.5/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 1.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,668
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
524 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,258.18
Total P&L
$-741.82
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+1.67%
Worst Trade
-4.26%
Avg Trade Return
-0.75%
Avg Hold Time
4.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,460.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-741.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-741.82
Gross Return
-7.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 524 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Squeeze had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 20, 2025 11:00am ET $379.02 26 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $362.88 26 $9,574.16 $9,574.16 $-425.84
(-4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2025 9:35am ET $363.29 26 $9,574.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $369.35 26 $9,733.87 $9,733.87 +$159.71
(+1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET $369.05 26 $9,733.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $357.40 26 $9,426.72 $9,426.72 $-307.15
(-3.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:40am ET $400.92 24 $9,426.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $406.87 24 $9,566.62 $9,566.62 +$139.90
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 10:30am ET $404.50 24 $9,566.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $408.63 24 $9,664.30 $9,664.30 +$97.68
(+1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:30am ET $415.19 23 $9,664.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $413.35 23 $9,621.59 $9,621.59 $-42.71
(-0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:30am ET $384.52 25 $9,621.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.38 25 $9,518.00 $9,518.00 $-103.59
(-1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:45am ET $388.05 25 $9,518.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $390.48 25 $9,577.48 $9,577.48 +$59.48
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:35am ET $388.19 25 $9,577.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $381.75 25 $9,418.59 $9,418.59 $-158.89
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $357.00 26 $9,418.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $350.92 26 $9,258.18 $9,258.18 $-160.41
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,258.18
Net Profit/Loss: $-741.82
Total Return: -7.42%
Back to Yield Squeeze