Compendium › Yield Stress › LLY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
LLY
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 10 trades in period

+6.52%
Last Year Return
$11,498.39
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,794.39
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:47:13

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

20
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.5/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 36.8/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 19.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
26,627
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,794.39
Current Value
$11,498.39
Period P&L
$704.01
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+6.88%
Worst Trade
-2.38%
Avg Trade Return
+1.03%
Avg Hold Time
4.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$218,641.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$704.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$704.01
Gross Return
+6.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,794.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $794.07 13 $10,419.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $775.17 13 $10,171.50 $10,171.50 $-248.00
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 9:30am ET $713.10 14 $10,171.50 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $719.24 14 $10,259.15 $10,259.15 +$87.65
(+0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 12:35pm ET $841.15 12 $10,259.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $826.79 12 $10,084.01 $10,084.01 $-175.14
(-1.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $794.00 13 $10,084.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $812.39 13 $10,317.57 $10,317.57 +$233.56
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 12:15pm ET $925.10 11 $10,317.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $988.73 11 $11,027.23 $11,027.23 +$709.66
(+6.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $1,011.01 11 $11,027.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $1,049.10 11 $11,442.68 $11,442.68 +$415.45
(+3.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $1,027.33 11 $11,442.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,064.72 11 $11,859.14 $11,859.14 +$416.46
(+3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.31 11 $11,859.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,024.80 11 $11,593.18 $11,593.18 $-265.96
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,038.95 11 $11,593.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,040.22 11 $11,607.35 $11,607.35 +$14.17
(+0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $1,015.76 11 $11,607.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,006.22 11 $11,498.39 $11,498.39 $-108.96
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,498.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,498.39
Total Return: +14.98%
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