Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 06:48:05

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.3/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
4.9/15
Consistency
8.3/10
Raw Quality 53.9/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 28.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
39,096
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
260 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,304.93
Current Value
$12,899.76
Period P&L
$1,594.83
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.40

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+9.87%
Worst Trade
-5.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.44%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$255,883.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,594.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,594.83
Gross Return
+14.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 260 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $11,304.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 10:15am ET $93.50 121 $11,304.93
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $96.20 121 $11,631.38 $11,631.38 +$326.45
(+2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $105.72 110 $11,631.38
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $108.80 110 $11,970.24 $11,970.24 +$338.86
(+2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $185.56 65 $11,970.24
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $192.02 65 $12,386.97 $12,386.97 +$416.73
(+3.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 9:30am ET $198.83 62 $12,386.97
🔴 SELL Oct 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $198.00 62 $12,335.02 $12,335.02 $-51.95
(-0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $221.35 56 $12,335.02
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 2:55pm ET $239.91 56 $13,369.26 $13,369.26 +$1,034.24
(+8.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $233.50 57 $13,369.26
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:55pm ET $227.40 57 $13,020.00 $13,020.00 $-349.26
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:30am ET $204.18 64 $13,020.00
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 2:55pm ET $224.34 64 $14,305.55 $14,305.55 +$1,285.55
(+9.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $403.66 35 $14,305.55
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.24 35 $13,581.89 $13,581.89 $-723.66
(-5.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:00am ET $421.27 32 $13,581.89
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $410.64 32 $13,239.33 $13,239.33 $-342.56
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $422.63 31 $13,239.33
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $411.79 31 $12,899.76 $12,899.76 $-339.57
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,899.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,899.76
Total Return: +29.00%
Back to Yield Stress