Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:51:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 68%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.5/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 25.3/100
× Confidence 0.68 = 17.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (68%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,384
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,007.08
Current Value
$11,074.54
Period P&L
$1,067.46
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.02

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+10.78%
Worst Trade
-2.49%
Avg Trade Return
+1.20%
Avg Hold Time
3.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$200,366.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,067.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,067.46
Gross Return
+10.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,007.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $122.08 82 $10,007.08
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 3:55pm ET $123.46 82 $10,120.20 $10,120.20 +$113.12
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $122.82 82 $10,120.20
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:55pm ET $128.07 82 $10,553.22 $10,553.22 +$433.02
(+4.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $122.73 86 $10,553.22
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.95 86 $11,690.45 $11,690.45 +$1,137.23
(+10.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:30am ET $154.26 76 $11,690.45
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $154.92 76 $11,740.47 $11,740.47 +$50.02
(+0.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $154.27 76 $11,740.47
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $151.42 76 $11,523.57 $11,523.57 $-216.90
(-1.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $148.09 78 $11,523.57
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET $148.93 78 $11,588.94 $11,588.94 +$65.37
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $147.63 79 $11,588.94
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.95 79 $11,300.44 $11,300.44 $-288.50
(-2.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $139.76 81 $11,300.44
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $137.59 81 $11,125.18 $11,125.18 $-175.26
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $140.61 79 $11,125.18
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.97 79 $11,074.54 $11,074.54 $-50.64
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,074.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,074.54
Total Return: +10.75%
Back to Yield Stress