Compendium › Yield Stress › MS
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MS
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 8 trades in period

+0.39%
Last 6 Months Return
$12,855.70
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$12,805.57
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:30

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.0/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
10.8/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 56.1/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 39.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,637
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
132 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,805.57
Current Value
$12,855.70
Period P&L
$50.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+4.17%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,573.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$50.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$50.13
Gross Return
+0.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 132 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $12,805.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $161.16 79 $12,805.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $165.09 79 $13,117.84 $13,117.84 +$312.27
(+2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $160.46 82 $13,117.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $159.46 82 $13,036.09 $13,036.09 $-81.75
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET $161.78 81 $13,036.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.24 81 $12,750.84 $12,750.84 $-285.25
(-2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 69 $12,750.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.32 69 $12,668.60 $12,668.60 $-82.24
(-0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $177.10 72 $12,668.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $179.98 72 $12,874.62 $12,874.62 +$206.02
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $173.80 74 $12,874.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $170.99 74 $12,666.46 $12,666.46 $-208.16
(-1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $158.26 80 $12,666.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $154.20 80 $12,341.51 $12,341.51 $-324.95
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $175.70 70 $12,341.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.02 70 $12,855.70 $12,855.70 +$514.19
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,855.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,855.70
Total Return: +28.56%
Back to Yield Stress