Compendium › Yield Stress › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

Last 6 Months: 2025-11-06 to present • 5 trades in period

+1.22%
Last 6 Months Return
$11,925.92
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$11,781.80
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.5/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 43.8/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 21.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
13,501
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$11,781.80
Current Value
$11,925.92
Period P&L
$144.13
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
5
Winners / Losers
2 / 3
Best Trade
+5.07%
Worst Trade
-2.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
3.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$114,697.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$144.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$144.13
Gross Return
+1.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 5 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $11,781.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $147.62 80 $11,794.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $144.57 80 $11,551.67 $11,551.67 $-243.31
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $144.75 80 $11,551.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $141.84 80 $11,319.44 $11,319.44 $-232.23
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $140.57 81 $11,319.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $139.91 81 $11,266.29 $11,266.29 $-53.15
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $143.83 78 $11,266.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $144.91 78 $11,350.89 $11,350.89 +$84.60
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $136.40 83 $11,350.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.31 83 $11,925.92 $11,925.92 +$575.03
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,925.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,925.92
Total Return: +19.26%
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