Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:59:54

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.5%
ATR%
1.0%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.0/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
11.8/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
7.1/10
Raw Quality 55.0/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 26.7

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
62,498
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,566.88
Total P&L
$1,566.88
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.71

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+4.23%
Worst Trade
-1.35%
Avg Trade Return
+1.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,316.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,566.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,566.88
Gross Return
+15.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DIA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 11:35am ET $389.38 26 $10,000.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $405.84 26 $10,422.72 $10,422.72 +$422.72
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $388.68 27 $10,422.72
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $401.94 27 $10,778.30 $10,778.30 +$355.58
(+3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 1:55pm ET $396.62 27 $10,778.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $391.28 27 $10,633.18 $10,633.18 $-145.12
(-1.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $387.26 27 $10,633.18
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $391.81 27 $10,757.97 $10,757.97 +$124.79
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2025 11:50am ET $397.36 27 $10,757.97
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $400.91 27 $10,854.08 $10,854.08 +$96.11
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $401.13 27 $10,854.08
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $407.41 27 $11,024.01 $11,024.01 +$169.93
(+1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $419.02 26 $11,024.01
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $418.80 26 $11,018.35 $11,018.35 $-5.66
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $414.99 27 $11,018.35
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $423.84 27 $11,253.39 $11,253.39 +$235.04
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $436.41 26 $11,253.39
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $441.78 26 $11,391.86 $11,391.86 +$138.47
(+1.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $454.95 25 $11,391.86
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $462.70 25 $11,585.92 $11,585.92 +$194.06
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $469.15 25 $11,585.92
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $466.29 25 $11,515.29 $11,515.29 $-70.63
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $462.44 25 $11,515.29
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $462.63 25 $11,520.02 $11,520.02 +$4.73
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $486.58 24 $11,520.02
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $490.79 24 $11,619.69 $11,619.69 +$99.67
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:20am ET $497.24 23 $11,619.69
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $494.98 23 $11,566.88 $11,566.88 $-52.81
(-0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,566.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,566.88
Total Return: +15.67%
Back to Yield Stress