Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 09:46:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 50%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
11.3/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
15.0/15
Consistency
8.0/10
Raw Quality 55.7/100
× Confidence 0.50 = 27.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (50%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,681
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,608.33
Total P&L
$1,608.33
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.77

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
10
Winners / Losers
8 / 2
Best Trade
+6.93%
Worst Trade
-1.06%
Avg Trade Return
+1.52%
Avg Hold Time
4.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$224,794.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,608.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,608.33
Gross Return
+16.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $330.77 30 $10,000.00
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $353.68 30 $10,692.63 $10,692.63 +$692.63
(+6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $346.37 31 $10,692.63
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $354.28 31 $10,936.82 $10,936.82 +$244.19
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $353.94 31 $10,936.82
🔴 SELL May 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $361.95 31 $11,184.33 $11,184.33 +$247.51
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $359.48 31 $11,184.33
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $362.59 31 $11,281.09 $11,281.09 +$96.76
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $369.38 31 $11,281.09
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $370.26 31 $11,307.97 $11,307.97 +$26.88
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $370.00 31 $11,307.97
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $374.25 31 $11,437.86 $11,437.86 +$129.89
(+1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $344.65 33 $11,437.86
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $343.86 33 $11,411.81 $11,411.81 $-26.05
(-0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $373.29 31 $11,411.81
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $383.77 31 $11,732.35 $11,732.35 +$320.54
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:05pm ET $385.02 30 $11,732.35
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $380.95 30 $11,608.33 $11,608.33 $-124.02
(-1.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $375.48 31 $11,608.33
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.48 31 $11,608.33 $11,608.33 $0.00
(+0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,608.33
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,608.33
Total Return: +16.08%
Back to Yield Stress