Compendium › Yield Stress › NVDA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NVDA
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 13 trades executed

+0.39%
2 Years Return
$10,039.06
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:15:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 54%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
1.2/25
Win Rate
5.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 11.7/100
× Confidence 0.54 = 6.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (54%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
88,622
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,039.06
Total P&L
$39.06
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+14.68%
Worst Trade
-8.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.20%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$282,443.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$39.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$39.06
Gross Return
+0.39%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.39%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $96.52 104 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $110.69 104 $11,468.09 $11,468.09 +$1,468.09
(+14.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 11:35am ET $110.56 104 $11,468.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $101.42 104 $10,520.02 $10,520.02 $-948.07
(-8.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $108.67 97 $10,520.02 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $111.53 97 $10,796.76 $10,796.76 +$276.74
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $111.49 97 $10,796.76 — — —
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $116.61 97 $11,292.58 $11,292.58 +$495.82
(+4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $134.00 84 $11,292.58 — — —
🔴 SELL May 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $135.49 84 $11,418.57 $11,418.57 +$125.99
(+1.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $173.04 66 $11,418.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.41 66 $11,838.91 $11,838.91 +$420.34
(+3.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:20am ET $188.50 63 $11,838.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $179.88 63 $11,297.21 $11,297.21 $-541.70
(-4.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $201.22 56 $11,297.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET $188.26 56 $10,569.59 $10,569.59 $-727.62
(-6.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $187.08 56 $10,569.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $181.37 56 $10,246.99 $10,246.99 $-322.60
(-3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 9:35am ET $177.59 58 $10,246.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $180.18 58 $10,396.15 $10,396.15 +$149.16
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $182.09 57 $10,396.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.67 57 $10,714.73 $10,714.73 +$318.58
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 9:35am ET $183.87 58 $10,714.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.63 58 $10,642.47 $10,642.47 $-72.26
(-0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $191.01 56 $10,642.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.18 56 $10,039.06 $10,039.06 $-603.41
(-5.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,039.06
Net Profit/Loss: +$39.06
Total Return: +0.39%
Back to Yield Stress