Compendium › Yield Stress › XLK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLK
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 15 trades executed

+19.26%
2 Years Return
$11,925.92
Current Value
60%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:16:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.1 neutral
20d Trend
-8.0%
5d Trend
-6.2%
EMA20 Dist
-5.6%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 48%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.5/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
7.5/10
Raw Quality 43.8/100
× Confidence 0.48 = 21.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (48%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
56,850
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
525 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,925.92
Total P&L
$1,925.92
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+7.61%
Worst Trade
-4.46%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
3.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$337,370.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,925.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,925.92
Gross Return
+19.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+19.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 525 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 12:30pm ET $93.27 107 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $97.22 107 $10,424.06 $10,424.06 +$424.06
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $98.29 106 $10,424.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $93.91 106 $9,959.28 $9,959.28 $-464.78
(-4.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $95.45 104 $9,959.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $102.72 104 $10,717.31 $10,717.31 +$758.03
(+7.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $102.69 104 $10,717.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $108.27 104 $11,299.70 $11,299.70 +$582.39
(+5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $106.43 106 $11,299.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $108.91 106 $11,562.47 $11,562.47 +$262.77
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $115.53 100 $11,562.47 — — —
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $113.37 100 $11,346.78 $11,346.78 $-215.69
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 30, 2025 12:25pm ET $114.18 99 $11,346.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2025 3:55pm ET $118.23 99 $11,749.25 $11,749.25 +$402.47
(+3.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $129.49 91 $11,749.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $130.07 91 $11,801.88 $11,801.88 +$52.63
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:00am ET $143.44 82 $11,801.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $140.72 82 $11,578.49 $11,578.49 $-223.39
(-1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $141.46 82 $11,578.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $144.11 82 $11,794.98 $11,794.98 +$216.49
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $147.62 80 $11,794.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $144.57 80 $11,551.67 $11,551.67 $-243.31
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:40am ET $144.75 80 $11,551.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $141.84 80 $11,319.44 $11,319.44 $-232.23
(-2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:35am ET $140.57 81 $11,319.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $139.91 81 $11,266.29 $11,266.29 $-53.15
(-0.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $143.83 78 $11,266.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $144.91 78 $11,350.89 $11,350.89 +$84.60
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:35am ET $136.40 83 $11,350.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $143.31 83 $11,925.92 $11,925.92 +$575.03
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,925.92
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,925.92
Total Return: +19.26%
Back to Yield Stress