Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 07:50:27

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 7.5/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
88 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$9,354.31
Current Value
$9,611.72
Period P&L
$257.41
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.33

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
3 / 3
Best Trade
+6.87%
Worst Trade
-4.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.51%
Avg Hold Time
3.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$118,185.79
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$257.41
Net P&L (after fees)
$257.41
Gross Return
+2.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 88 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $9,354.31 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.60 29 $9,354.31
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.76 29 $9,996.95 $9,996.95 +$642.64
(+6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 27 $9,996.95
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 27 $10,093.29 $10,093.29 +$96.34
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $375.22 27 $10,093.29
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.07 27 $10,089.12 $10,089.12 $-4.17
(-0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $360.91 28 $10,089.12
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.92 28 $9,670.08 $9,670.08 $-419.04
(-4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 28 $9,670.08
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 28 $9,760.44 $9,760.44 +$90.36
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $343.56 28 $9,760.44
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.33 28 $9,611.72 $9,611.72 $-148.72
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,611.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-388.28
Total Return: -3.88%
Back to Yield Stress