Compendium › Yield Stress › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 7 trades in period

+4.82%
Year to Date Return
$13,503.39
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$12,882.90
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:04:32

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 64%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.5/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
13.7/15
Profit Factor
9.4/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 69.3/100
× Confidence 0.64 = 44.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (64%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,367
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$12,882.90
Current Value
$13,503.39
Period P&L
$620.49
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
5 / 2
Best Trade
+3.14%
Worst Trade
-2.70%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$182,428.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$620.49
Net P&L (after fees)
$620.49
Gross Return
+4.82%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $12,882.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $357.35 36 $12,882.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.76 36 $12,969.78 $12,969.78 +$86.88
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.07 37 $12,969.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.14 37 $13,267.91 $13,267.91 +$298.13
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $346.60 38 $13,267.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $337.68 38 $12,926.45 $12,926.45 $-341.46
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET $329.30 39 $12,926.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $320.41 39 $12,577.48 $12,577.48 $-348.97
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $301.83 42 $12,577.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $311.30 42 $12,972.10 $12,972.10 +$394.62
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.35 44 $12,972.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.03 44 $13,307.15 $13,307.15 +$335.05
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $298.37 45 $13,307.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $302.77 45 $13,503.39 $13,503.39 +$196.24
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,503.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,503.39
Total Return: +35.03%
Back to Yield Stress