Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:04

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 71%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 7.5/100
× Confidence 0.71 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (71%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
43,511
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
510 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$9,611.72
Total P&L
$-388.28
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+6.87%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
4.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$231,267.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-388.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-388.28
Gross Return
-3.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 510 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 1:30pm ET $283.95 35 $10,000.00
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $285.84 35 $10,066.56 $10,066.56 +$66.56
(+0.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $292.77 34 $10,066.56
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $278.38 34 $9,571.78 $9,571.78 $-494.78
(-4.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:30am ET $283.42 34 $9,571.78
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $270.43 34 $9,133.24 $9,133.24 $-438.54
(-4.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 1:20pm ET $297.72 31 $9,133.24
🔴 SELL Oct 27, 2025 3:55pm ET $291.16 31 $8,932.00 $8,932.00 $-201.24
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 2:40pm ET $335.80 27 $8,932.00
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $344.38 27 $9,160.22 $9,160.22 +$228.22
(+2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $337.45 27 $9,160.22
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $344.60 27 $9,354.31 $9,354.31 +$194.09
(+2.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $322.60 29 $9,354.31
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $344.76 29 $9,996.95 $9,996.95 +$642.64
(+6.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $366.29 27 $9,996.95
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $369.82 27 $10,093.29 $10,093.29 +$96.34
(+1.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $375.22 27 $10,093.29
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $375.07 27 $10,089.12 $10,089.12 $-4.17
(-0.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 11:40am ET $360.91 28 $10,089.12
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $345.92 28 $9,670.08 $9,670.08 $-419.04
(-4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 11:35am ET $346.75 28 $9,670.08
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $349.99 28 $9,760.44 $9,760.44 +$90.36
(+0.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $343.56 28 $9,760.44
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.33 28 $9,611.72 $9,611.72 $-148.72
(-1.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,611.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-388.28
Total Return: -3.88%
Back to Yield Stress