Compendium › Yield Stress › AXP
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
AXP
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 17 trades executed

+35.03%
2 Years Return
$13,503.39
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:16:03

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 65%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.5/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
13.7/15
Profit Factor
9.4/15
Consistency
8.8/10
Raw Quality 69.3/100
× Confidence 0.65 = 44.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (65%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
44,837
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
520 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,503.39
Total P&L
$3,503.39
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.51

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
13 / 4
Best Trade
+13.53%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
+1.85%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$424,393.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,503.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,503.39
Gross Return
+35.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 520 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $230.94 43 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $262.18 43 $11,352.98 $11,352.98 +$1,352.98
(+13.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:50am ET $245.16 46 $11,352.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $251.22 46 $11,633.85 $11,633.85 +$280.87
(+2.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 1:30pm ET $254.26 46 $11,633.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $251.66 46 $11,514.89 $11,514.89 $-118.96
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $249.48 46 $11,514.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $260.05 46 $12,002.75 $12,002.75 +$487.86
(+4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $261.31 46 $12,002.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET $268.68 46 $12,341.28 $12,341.28 +$338.53
(+2.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:25pm ET $286.30 43 $12,341.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $287.11 43 $12,376.20 $12,376.20 +$34.92
(+0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:35am ET $289.57 43 $12,376.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $298.58 43 $12,761.29 $12,761.29 +$385.09
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $357.63 36 $12,761.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $365.77 36 $13,051.75 $13,051.75 +$290.46
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $356.31 37 $13,051.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $341.41 37 $12,506.13 $12,506.13 $-545.62
(-4.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:20pm ET $342.55 37 $12,506.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $352.87 37 $12,882.90 $12,882.90 +$376.77
(+3.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $357.35 36 $12,882.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.76 36 $12,969.78 $12,969.78 +$86.88
(+0.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $351.07 37 $12,969.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $359.14 37 $13,267.91 $13,267.91 +$298.13
(+2.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 11:10am ET $346.60 38 $13,267.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $337.68 38 $12,926.45 $12,926.45 $-341.46
(-2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:55am ET $329.30 39 $12,926.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $320.41 39 $12,577.48 $12,577.48 $-348.97
(-2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $301.83 42 $12,577.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $311.30 42 $12,972.10 $12,972.10 +$394.62
(+3.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $297.35 44 $12,972.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $305.03 44 $13,307.15 $13,307.15 +$335.05
(+2.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $298.37 45 $13,307.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $302.77 45 $13,503.39 $13,503.39 +$196.24
(+1.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,503.39
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,503.39
Total Return: +35.03%
Back to Yield Stress