COIN Yield Stress's Analysis
to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 30 trades executed
+50.23%
2 Years Return
$15,022.74
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026
48
Lifetime
Confidence: 75%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
14.2/25
Win Rate
6.3/15
Profit Factor
4.6/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality
64.5/100
× Confidence 0.75
= 48.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (75%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
82,520
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)
Market Closed (21 days)
2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary
Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$15,022.74
Total P&L
$5,022.74
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics
Total Trades
30
Winners / Losers
17 /
13
Best Trade
+17.83%
Worst Trade
-16.10%
Avg Trade Return
+1.58%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$713,632.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$5,022.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,022.74
Gross Return
+50.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+50.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Complete Trade History
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2025 12:30pm ET | $157.15 | 64 | $10,000.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET | $177.13 | 64 | $11,271.40 | $11,271.40 |
+$1,271.40 (+12.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET | $169.66 | 66 | $11,271.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET | $175.48 | 66 | $11,658.05 | $11,658.05 |
+$386.65 (+3.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2025 1:45pm ET | $170.35 | 68 | $11,658.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $175.02 | 68 | $11,977.49 | $11,977.49 |
+$319.44 (+2.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2025 3:50pm ET | $190.23 | 63 | $11,977.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $194.39 | 63 | $12,239.42 | $12,239.42 |
+$261.93 (+2.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $200.71 | 61 | $12,239.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2025 3:55pm ET | $201.29 | 61 | $12,274.79 | $12,274.79 |
+$35.37 (+0.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2025 9:30am ET | $202.62 | 61 | $12,274.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2025 3:55pm ET | $196.89 | 61 | $11,927.66 | $11,927.66 |
$-347.13 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET | $261.85 | 46 | $11,927.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET | $271.95 | 46 | $12,387.73 | $12,387.73 |
+$460.07 (+3.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2025 9:30am ET | $258.45 | 48 | $12,387.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET | $248.90 | 48 | $11,929.99 | $11,929.99 |
$-457.74 (-3.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET | $326.69 | 37 | $11,929.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET | $318.22 | 37 | $11,620.86 | $11,620.86 |
$-309.13 (-2.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 10, 2025 3:30pm ET | $353.71 | 33 | $11,620.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 13, 2025 3:55pm ET | $356.88 | 33 | $11,724.87 | $11,724.87 |
+$104.01 (+0.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 14, 2025 3:35pm ET | $345.85 | 34 | $11,724.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET | $336.21 | 34 | $11,398.06 | $11,398.06 |
$-326.81 (-2.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 16, 2025 3:55pm ET | $330.16 | 35 | $11,398.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET | $336.08 | 35 | $11,602.44 | $11,602.44 |
+$204.38 (+1.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET | $328.00 | 35 | $11,602.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Oct 23, 2025 3:55pm ET | $322.71 | 35 | $11,415.32 | $11,415.32 |
$-187.12 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET | $315.21 | 36 | $11,415.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET | $319.21 | 36 | $11,560.18 | $11,560.18 |
+$144.86 (+1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 6, 2025 3:30pm ET | $296.98 | 39 | $11,560.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 7, 2025 3:55pm ET | $309.22 | 39 | $12,036.63 | $12,036.63 |
+$476.45 (+4.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET | $298.89 | 40 | $12,036.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 3:55pm ET | $284.13 | 40 | $11,442.22 | $11,442.22 |
$-594.41 (-4.9%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:15pm ET | $259.50 | 44 | $11,442.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET | $261.67 | 44 | $11,537.88 | $11,537.88 |
+$95.66 (+0.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 12:10pm ET | $239.83 | 48 | $11,537.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET | $240.36 | 48 | $11,563.38 | $11,563.38 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $249.05 | 46 | $11,563.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET | $264.97 | 46 | $12,302.79 | $12,302.79 |
+$739.41 (+6.4%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.88 | 53 | $12,302.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $226.93 | 53 | $12,040.00 | $12,040.00 |
$-262.79 (-2.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $174.12 | 69 | $12,040.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $146.09 | 69 | $10,101.79 | $10,101.79 |
$-1,938.21 (-16.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $140.89 | 72 | $10,101.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.28 | 72 | $11,778.85 | $11,778.85 |
+$1,677.06 (+16.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $165.82 | 71 | $11,778.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $164.07 | 71 | $11,654.54 | $11,654.54 |
$-124.31 (-1.1%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $163.11 | 71 | $11,654.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $162.03 | 71 | $11,577.58 | $11,577.58 |
$-76.96 (-0.7%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.15 | 63 | $11,577.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 3:55pm ET | $175.90 | 63 | $11,118.98 | $11,118.98 |
$-458.60 (-4.0%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.26 | 63 | $11,118.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $208.87 | 63 | $13,101.78 | $13,101.78 |
+$1,982.80 (+17.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $200.26 | 65 | $13,101.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $197.07 | 65 | $12,892.76 | $12,892.76 |
$-209.02 (-1.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.69 | 63 | $12,892.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $203.07 | 63 | $12,728.85 | $12,728.85 |
$-163.91 (-1.3%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $166.01 | 77 | $12,728.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET | $175.27 | 77 | $13,438.46 | $13,438.46 |
+$709.61 (+5.6%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $164.85 | 82 | $13,438.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $184.29 | 82 | $15,022.74 | $15,022.74 |
+$1,584.28 (+11.8%) |
TIME_EXIT
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,022.74
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,022.74
Total Return:
+50.23%