Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:43:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
32.2/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
7.8/10
Raw Quality 64.5/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 44.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
83,731
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$14,601.91
Total P&L
$4,601.91
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
11 / 7
Best Trade
+21.90%
Worst Trade
-10.23%
Avg Trade Return
+2.51%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$466,838.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,601.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,601.91
Gross Return
+46.02%
Net Return (after fees)
+46.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $33.22 301 $10,000.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $40.50 301 $12,189.95 $12,189.95 +$2,189.95
(+21.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 9:30am ET $42.75 285 $12,189.95
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $39.86 285 $11,365.88 $11,365.88 $-824.07
(-6.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $47.49 239 $11,365.88
🔴 SELL May 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $48.57 239 $11,624.36 $11,624.36 +$258.48
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $46.70 249 $11,624.36
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $54.07 249 $13,458.87 $13,458.87 +$1,834.51
(+15.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $64.69 208 $13,458.87
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $63.15 208 $13,138.47 $13,138.47 $-320.40
(-2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 9:35am ET $64.18 205 $13,138.47
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $68.00 205 $13,920.47 $13,920.47 +$782.00
(+6.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $94.97 147 $13,920.47
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $105.45 147 $15,456.02 $15,456.02 +$1,535.55
(+11.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 10:55am ET $147.15 105 $15,456.02
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 3:55pm ET $134.96 105 $14,175.87 $14,175.87 $-1,280.15
(-8.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 15, 2025 1:10pm ET $134.46 105 $14,175.87
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $129.94 105 $13,699.33 $13,699.33 $-476.54
(-3.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $129.38 106 $13,699.33
🔴 SELL Oct 24, 2025 3:55pm ET $139.79 106 $14,801.76 $14,801.76 +$1,102.43
(+8.0%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $137.39 108 $14,801.76
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $127.06 108 $13,688.85 $13,688.85 $-1,112.91
(-7.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 9:30am ET $129.18 106 $13,688.85
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.96 106 $12,287.96 $12,287.96 $-1,400.89
(-10.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 3:55pm ET $114.29 108 $12,287.96
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $106.17 108 $11,414.93 $11,414.93 $-873.03
(-7.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $107.37 106 $11,414.93
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $115.61 106 $12,290.96 $12,290.96 +$876.03
(+7.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $105.79 116 $12,290.96
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $106.30 116 $12,350.20 $12,350.20 +$59.24
(+0.5%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $82.66 149 $12,350.20
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $82.82 149 $12,373.30 $12,373.30 +$23.10
(+0.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.31 167 $12,373.30
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.36 167 $12,881.15 $12,881.15 +$507.85
(+4.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $69.58 185 $12,881.15
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.88 185 $14,601.91 $14,601.91 +$1,720.76
(+13.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,601.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,601.91
Total Return: +46.02%
Back to Yield Stress