Compendium › Yield Stress › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 8 trades executed

+16.92%
2 Years Return
$11,692.28
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:43:46

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

44
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
77.5/25
Win Rate
39.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
83.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 44.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
50,055
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
528 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,692.28
Total P&L
$1,692.28
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.77

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+5.57%
Worst Trade
-2.08%
Avg Trade Return
+2.02%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,546.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,692.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,692.28
Gross Return
+16.92%
Net Return (after fees)
+16.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 528 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $217.33 46 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $229.44 46 $10,557.46 $10,557.46 +$557.46
(+5.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $227.07 46 $10,557.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $236.13 46 $10,978.70 $10,978.70 +$421.24
(+4.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $296.42 37 $10,978.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $312.48 37 $11,573.72 $11,573.72 +$595.02
(+5.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:10am ET $291.22 40 $11,573.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $290.44 40 $11,542.91 $11,542.91 $-30.81
(-0.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $297.60 39 $11,542.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $294.60 39 $11,426.55 $11,426.55 $-116.36
(-1.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $283.43 40 $11,426.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.88 40 $12,049.42 $12,049.42 +$622.87
(+5.5%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 9:35am ET $267.59 45 $12,049.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $262.02 45 $11,798.38 $11,798.38 $-251.04
(-2.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $240.19 49 $11,798.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $238.03 49 $11,692.28 $11,692.28 $-106.10
(-0.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,692.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,692.28
Total Return: +16.92%
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