Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

39
Lifetime
Confidence: 70%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.0/35
Total Return
12.2/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
10.8/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 56.1/100
× Confidence 0.70 = 39.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (70%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,267
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
521 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,855.70
Total P&L
$2,855.70
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.46

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
19
Winners / Losers
12 / 7
Best Trade
+12.59%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
+1.38%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$467,813.91
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,855.70
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,855.70
Gross Return
+28.56%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.56%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 521 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:10pm ET $99.18 101 $10,000.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 3:55pm ET $111.66 101 $11,258.89 $11,258.89 +$1,258.89
(+12.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 11:50am ET $106.23 106 $11,258.89
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $108.00 106 $11,446.49 $11,446.49 +$187.60
(+1.7%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 12:10pm ET $108.71 105 $11,446.49
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $110.43 105 $11,627.94 $11,627.94 +$181.45
(+1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2025 2:00pm ET $107.66 108 $11,627.94
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $109.16 108 $11,789.95 $11,789.95 +$162.01
(+1.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2025 1:25pm ET $109.24 108 $11,789.95
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $112.31 108 $12,121.29 $12,121.29 +$331.34
(+2.8%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 11:40am ET $115.50 105 $12,121.29
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $116.18 105 $12,192.65 $12,192.65 +$71.36
(+0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY May 21, 2025 1:20pm ET $126.34 97 $12,192.65
🔴 SELL May 22, 2025 3:55pm ET $126.25 97 $12,183.96 $12,183.96 $-8.69
(-0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $137.42 89 $12,183.96
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2025 3:55pm ET $141.38 89 $12,535.06 $12,535.06 +$351.10
(+2.9%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:05am ET $154.98 81 $12,535.06
🔴 SELL Oct 13, 2025 3:55pm ET $155.15 81 $12,548.81 $12,548.81 +$13.75
(+0.1%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 3:40pm ET $159.14 79 $12,548.81
🔴 SELL Oct 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.68 79 $12,512.54 $12,512.54 $-36.27
(-0.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $161.41 78 $12,512.54
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 3:55pm ET $165.19 78 $12,805.57 $12,805.57 +$293.03
(+2.3%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $161.16 79 $12,805.57
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $165.09 79 $13,117.84 $13,117.84 +$312.27
(+2.4%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $160.46 82 $13,117.84
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $159.46 82 $13,036.09 $13,036.09 $-81.75
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:05pm ET $161.78 81 $13,036.09
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 3:55pm ET $158.24 81 $12,750.84 $12,750.84 $-285.25
(-2.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $184.51 69 $12,750.84
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.32 69 $12,668.60 $12,668.60 $-82.24
(-0.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $177.10 72 $12,668.60
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $179.98 72 $12,874.62 $12,874.62 +$206.02
(+1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 12, 2026 10:50am ET $173.80 74 $12,874.62
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $170.99 74 $12,666.46 $12,666.46 $-208.16
(-1.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:50am ET $158.26 80 $12,666.46
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $154.20 80 $12,341.51 $12,341.51 $-324.95
(-2.6%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $175.70 70 $12,341.51
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $183.02 70 $12,855.70 $12,855.70 +$514.19
(+4.2%)
TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,855.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,855.70
Total Return: +28.56%
Back to Yield Stress