Compendium › Yield Stress › MSFT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MSFT
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 14 trades executed

+26.63%
2 Years Return
$12,663.47
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:48:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 53%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.6/35
Total Return
12.0/25
Win Rate
11.8/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 56.1/100
× Confidence 0.53 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (53%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
78,238
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
535 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$12,663.47
Total P&L
$2,663.47
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.41

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+12.30%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
+1.78%
Avg Hold Time
2.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$328,345.68
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,663.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,663.47
Gross Return
+26.63%
Net Return (after fees)
+26.63%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 535 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:50pm ET $355.17 28 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2025 3:55pm ET $381.14 28 $10,731.20 $10,731.20 +$731.20
(+7.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2025 12:10pm ET $385.60 28 $10,731.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $371.61 28 $10,341.86 $10,341.86 $-389.34
(-3.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2025 9:30am ET $364.19 28 $10,341.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2025 3:55pm ET $374.05 28 $10,621.85 $10,621.85 +$279.99
(+2.7%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2025 9:30am ET $387.46 27 $10,621.85 — — —
🔴 SELL May 2, 2025 3:55pm ET $435.10 27 $11,927.86 $11,927.86 +$1,306.01
(+12.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $433.26 28 $11,927.86 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 3:55pm ET $438.24 28 $12,065.10 $12,065.10 +$137.24
(+1.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
6 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $450.36 27 $12,065.10 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2025 3:55pm ET $457.38 27 $12,253.17 $12,253.17 +$188.07
(+1.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $507.74 24 $12,253.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 3:55pm ET $511.55 24 $12,345.12 $12,345.12 +$91.95
(+0.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $509.83 24 $12,345.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $497.36 24 $12,043.17 $12,043.17 $-301.95
(-2.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 9:30am ET $499.75 24 $12,043.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 3:55pm ET $478.26 24 $11,525.30 $11,525.30 $-517.87
(-4.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:40am ET $467.88 25 $11,525.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 1:00pm ET $491.92 25 $12,117.48 $12,117.48 +$592.18
(+5.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $451.40 27 $12,117.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $451.15 27 $12,110.90 $12,110.90 $-6.58
(-0.1%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $405.70 30 $12,110.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $413.50 30 $12,343.74 $12,343.74 +$232.84
(+1.9%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 13, 2026 11:20am ET $398.54 31 $12,343.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 13, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.82 31 $12,414.36 $12,414.36 +$70.62
(+0.6%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $392.70 32 $12,414.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $400.58 32 $12,663.47 $12,663.47 +$249.11
(+2.0%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,663.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,663.47
Total Return: +26.63%
Back to Yield Stress