Compendium › Yield Stress › SPY
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SPY
Alpaca Tradeable

Yield Stress's Analysis

to 2026-05-06 15:15:00+00 • 5 trades executed

+14.65%
2 Years Return
$11,465.10
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:19:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-2.6%
5d Trend
-2.0%
EMA20 Dist
-1.7%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
54%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 0%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
84.0/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
98.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
97.1/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.00 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (0%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
87,356
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
537 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$11,465.10
Total P&L
$1,465.10
Max Drawdown
-0.0%
Sharpe Ratio
1.08

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
5
Winners / Losers
5 / 0
Best Trade
+7.84%
Worst Trade
+0.40%
Avg Trade Return
+2.80%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$109,840.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,465.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,465.10
Gross Return
+14.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SPY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 537 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yield Stress had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:15pm ET $495.18 20 $10,000.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 3:55pm ET $533.98 20 $10,783.55 $10,783.55 +$783.55
(+7.8%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
2 🟢 BUY May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $577.26 19 $10,783.55 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 3:55pm ET $590.00 19 $11,021.54 $11,021.54 +$237.99
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $624.32 18 $11,021.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2025 3:55pm ET $632.67 18 $11,169.04 $11,169.04 +$147.50
(+1.3%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET $662.44 17 $11,169.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 15, 2025 3:55pm ET $665.08 17 $11,213.55 $11,213.55 +$44.51
(+0.4%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:55am ET $660.20 17 $11,213.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 3:55pm ET $675.01 17 $11,465.10 $11,465.10 +$251.55
(+2.2%) 		TIME_EXIT
0m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,465.10
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,465.10
Total Return: +14.65%
Back to Yield Stress