Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:44:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
19.6 oversold
20d Trend
-46.1%
5d Trend
-40.6%
EMA20 Dist
-40.2%
ATR%
14.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 3.5

30-Day Momentum

3
+0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.4 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,261
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
33 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$1,995.90
Current Value
$2,053.76
Period P&L
$-10.14
Max Drawdown
-89.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
1 / 2
Best Trade
+12.40%
Worst Trade
-5.27%
Avg Trade Return
+0.64%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$11,600.99
Estimated Fees
$29.00
Gross P&L
$-10.14
Net P&L (after fees)
$-39.14
Gross Return
-0.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.96%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOTUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 33 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $1,995.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:55pm ET $1.05 1,934 $2,034.90
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:00am ET $0.9973 1,934 $1,928.91 $1,928.91 $-115.90
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:20am ET $0.9677 1,993 $1,928.91
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $0.9167 1,993 $1,827.25 $1,827.25 $-111.05
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 6, 2026 12:35am ET $0.8930 2,046 $1,827.25
🔴 SELL Jun 7, 2026 6:15pm ET $1.00 2,046 $2,053.76 $2,053.76 +$216.81
(+12.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $2,053.76
Net Profit/Loss: $-7,946.24
Total Return: -79.46%
Back to Yolanda YOLO