Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:38:15

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 97%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.97 = 9.4

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.8%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (97%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,476.14
Current Value
$10,342.73
Period P&L
$-133.44
Max Drawdown
-59.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+10.18%
Worst Trade
-6.03%
Avg Trade Return
+2.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$85,946.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-133.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$-133.44
Gross Return
-1.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,476.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 10:15am ET $11.62 823 $9,563.51
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:45am ET $12.79 823 $10,526.17 $10,533.78 +$962.66
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $13.65 771 $10,528.00
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 11:15am ET $15.05 771 $11,599.70 $11,605.47 +$1,071.69
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:45am ET $13.35 868 $11,592.14
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:00am ET $12.55 868 $10,893.40 $10,906.73 $-698.74
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $13.63 800 $10,904.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $12.93 800 $10,340.00 $10,342.73 $-564.00
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,342.73
Net Profit/Loss: +$342.73
Total Return: +3.43%
Back to Yolanda YOLO