Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:37:46

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
31.5/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
4.2/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
6.5/10
Raw Quality 64.6/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 55.4

30-Day Momentum

21
+9.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 32.0 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$23,012.89
Current Value
$25,270.98
Period P&L
$2,258.10
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+12.76%
Worst Trade
-6.51%
Avg Trade Return
+2.78%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$191,081.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,258.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,258.10
Gross Return
+9.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $23,012.89 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:35am ET $895.29 25 $22,382.25
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $1,009.50 25 $25,237.50 $25,868.13 +$2,855.25
(+12.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,007.96 25 $25,198.94
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $942.31 25 $23,557.75 $24,226.94 $-1,641.19
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $926.52 26 $24,089.52
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $878.98 26 $22,853.61 $22,991.03 $-1,235.91
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:40am ET $1,033.68 22 $22,740.96
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,137.31 22 $25,020.91 $25,270.98 +$2,279.95
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,270.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,270.98
Total Return: +152.71%
Back to Yolanda YOLO