Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:44:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
22.2 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-40.1%
EMA20 Dist
-35.3%
ATR%
13.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 86%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.86 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (86%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,448
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-21
Trading Days
367 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$10,831.64
Current Value
$6,847.31
Period P&L
$-3,966.82
Max Drawdown
-53.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
3 / 12
Best Trade
+10.15%
Worst Trade
-6.99%
Avg Trade Return
-2.36%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$245,515.12
Estimated Fees
$613.79
Gross P&L
$-3,966.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,580.61
Gross Return
-36.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.29%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ETHUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 367 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $10,831.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2025 8:30pm ET $2,522.09 4 $10,830.97
🔴 SELL Jun 20, 2025 1:35pm ET $2,385.03 4 $10,242.37 $10,189.69 $-641.28
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 21, 2025 5:30pm ET $2,279.03 4 $10,189.69
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2025 10:20am ET $2,164.27 4 $9,676.59 $9,626.93 $-562.77
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 9:00am ET $4,486.00 2 $9,626.93
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2025 2:40am ET $4,250.20 2 $9,120.90 $9,074.03 $-552.89
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $4,100.60 2 $9,074.03
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 4:55pm ET $3,872.20 2 $8,568.62 $8,524.51 $-549.52
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $3,731.40 2 $8,524.51
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $3,500.00 2 $7,995.87 $7,954.57 $-569.94
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $3,648.00 2 $7,954.57
🔴 SELL Oct 12, 2025 11:05am ET $4,017.74 2 $8,760.80 $8,719.01 +$764.44
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 11:35am ET $2,946.88 3 $8,719.01
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 9:55pm ET $2,792.40 3 $8,261.94 $8,219.49 $-499.52
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 30, 2025 7:30pm ET $2,874.83 3 $8,219.49
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 10:40am ET $2,725.25 3 $7,791.82 $7,751.79 $-467.70
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $3,071.20 3 $7,751.79
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 1:30pm ET $2,913.20 3 $7,353.00 $7,315.24 $-436.56
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 11:15am ET $2,863.56 3 $7,315.24
🔴 SELL Jan 3, 2026 7:30pm ET $3,150.90 3 $8,049.27 $8,010.86 +$695.63
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $2,405.67 3 $8,010.86
🔴 SELL Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET $2,237.56 3 $7,451.06 $7,412.40 $-598.46
(-7.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 1, 2026 10:25pm ET $2,171.57 3 $7,412.40
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 6:20am ET $2,061.71 3 $7,037.41 $7,001.28 $-411.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:20am ET $1,960.87 4 $7,001.28
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $1,857.22 4 $6,631.20 $6,597.12 $-404.16
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,828.11 4 $6,597.12
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:20am ET $2,013.70 4 $7,266.86 $7,232.20 +$635.08
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.5h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 2:25am ET $1,641.33 4 $7,232.20
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,553.98 4 $6,847.31 $6,847.31 $-420.09
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,847.31
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,152.69
Total Return: -31.53%
Back to Yolanda YOLO