Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
7.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 12.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

36
+15.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.3 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,479
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$7,420.79
Current Value
$10,709.41
Period P&L
$3,288.60
Max Drawdown
-59.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
18 / 24
Best Trade
+12.61%
Worst Trade
-8.21%
Avg Trade Return
+1.19%
Avg Hold Time
2.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$732,919.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,288.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,288.60
Gross Return
+44.32%
Net Return (after fees)
+44.32%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 42 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $7,420.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 9, 2025 11:20am ET $15.17 489 $7,418.13
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 11:00am ET $16.76 489 $8,195.64 $8,198.31 +$777.51
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
2 🟢 BUY May 22, 2025 11:05am ET $15.85 517 $8,194.45
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $14.91 517 $7,705.89 $7,709.74 $-488.57
(-6.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.4h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2025 9:45am ET $15.61 494 $7,708.87
🔴 SELL May 29, 2025 10:30am ET $14.82 494 $7,321.08 $7,321.95 $-387.79
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 10:15am ET $15.18 482 $7,316.71
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2025 2:15pm ET $14.42 482 $6,948.03 $6,953.27 $-368.68
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 9:30am ET $16.85 412 $6,941.91
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $18.57 412 $7,648.78 $7,660.14 +$706.87
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2025 10:35am ET $20.33 376 $7,644.34
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2025 2:05pm ET $19.30 376 $7,257.70 $7,273.50 $-386.64
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 18, 2025 11:20am ET $19.78 367 $7,258.75
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2025 3:25pm ET $18.79 367 $6,894.10 $6,908.84 $-364.65
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2025 9:30am ET $17.71 390 $6,906.90
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 9:40am ET $16.77 390 $6,540.73 $6,542.67 $-366.17
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 30, 2025 11:10am ET $16.85 388 $6,537.80
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $15.47 388 $6,001.35 $6,006.22 $-536.45
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2025 10:10am ET $15.09 398 $6,003.83
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 11:30am ET $16.61 398 $6,609.79 $6,612.18 +$605.96
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 5, 2025 10:45am ET $14.68 450 $6,603.75
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:35am ET $16.22 450 $7,296.75 $7,305.18 +$693.00
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 2:10pm ET $16.87 433 $7,304.71
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 11:40am ET $18.58 433 $8,045.96 $8,046.43 +$741.25
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2025 9:30am ET $17.19 468 $8,044.92
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 9:50am ET $19.05 468 $8,913.06 $8,914.57 +$868.14
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2025 11:55am ET $18.00 495 $8,910.00
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $16.85 495 $8,338.28 $8,342.85 $-571.73
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 3, 2025 2:05pm ET $18.56 449 $8,333.44
🔴 SELL Oct 6, 2025 3:10pm ET $20.44 449 $9,175.32 $9,184.72 +$841.88
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Oct 9, 2025 11:30am ET $19.51 470 $9,169.70
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 9:35am ET $21.97 470 $10,326.37 $10,341.39 +$1,156.67
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $19.32 535 $10,336.20
🔴 SELL Oct 14, 2025 11:40am ET $21.46 535 $11,481.10 $11,486.29 +$1,144.90
(+11.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:45am ET $22.06 520 $11,468.96
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:15pm ET $20.83 520 $10,831.60 $10,848.93 $-637.36
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
19 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 10:35am ET $19.04 569 $10,833.76
🔴 SELL Oct 30, 2025 11:40am ET $18.06 569 $10,273.30 $10,288.46 $-560.47
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:30am ET $17.52 587 $10,284.24
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 3:30pm ET $16.60 587 $9,744.20 $9,748.42 $-540.04
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
21 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $15.23 640 $9,744.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 10:35am ET $14.36 640 $9,187.39 $9,191.82 $-556.61
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 10:50am ET $13.69 671 $9,186.33
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 1:30pm ET $13.01 671 $8,726.36 $8,731.85 $-459.97
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
23 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 11:15am ET $11.53 757 $8,724.43
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 1:25pm ET $10.90 757 $8,251.30 $8,258.72 $-473.13
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $9.96 829 $8,253.19
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 1:55pm ET $10.98 829 $9,098.28 $9,103.80 +$845.08
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
25 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 9:30am ET $11.08 822 $9,103.65
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 10:10am ET $12.19 822 $10,020.26 $10,020.41 +$916.61
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $11.46 874 $10,011.67
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:50am ET $10.84 874 $9,469.79 $9,478.53 $-541.88
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
27 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:55am ET $10.29 921 $9,472.49
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:20pm ET $9.76 921 $8,984.36 $8,990.40 $-488.13
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:15am ET $9.93 905 $8,986.56
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $10.99 905 $9,945.95 $9,949.80 +$959.39
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $10.40 957 $9,948.02
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET $9.85 957 $9,424.06 $9,425.84 $-523.96
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:40am ET $9.07 1,038 $9,419.85
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $8.57 1,038 $8,895.66 $8,901.65 $-524.19
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $7.78 1,143 $8,898.25
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $7.30 1,143 $8,345.04 $8,348.44 $-553.21
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
32 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $7.82 1,066 $8,341.45
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $7.99 1,066 $8,522.67 $8,529.66 +$181.22
(+2.2%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $7.54 1,131 $8,527.74
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $8.39 1,131 $9,489.09 $9,491.01 +$961.35
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:10am ET $9.18 1,033 $9,482.94
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $8.60 1,033 $8,888.96 $8,897.03 $-593.98
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $9.03 985 $8,894.55
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $8.57 985 $8,446.37 $8,448.86 $-448.17
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:35am ET $8.27 1,021 $8,443.67
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:30am ET $9.28 1,021 $9,474.88 $9,480.07 +$1,031.21
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $8.64 1,097 $9,478.08
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $8.20 1,097 $9,000.67 $9,002.65 $-477.42
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.2d held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 11:25am ET $8.90 1,011 $8,997.90
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $8.34 1,011 $8,431.74 $8,436.49 $-566.16
(-6.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $7.68 1,098 $8,432.53
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $8.45 1,098 $9,283.59 $9,287.55 +$851.06
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.3h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $8.49 1,093 $9,279.57
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $9.40 1,093 $10,274.20 $10,282.18 +$994.63
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:30am ET $11.41 900 $10,273.50
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $10.77 900 $9,693.00 $9,701.68 $-580.50
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:05am ET $10.39 933 $9,693.78
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:40am ET $11.47 933 $10,701.51 $10,709.41 +$1,007.73
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,709.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$709.41
Total Return: +7.09%
Back to Yolanda YOLO