Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-22 15:19:08

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 62%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
2.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 7.0/100
× Confidence 0.62 = 4.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (62%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,821
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,544.22
Current Value
$10,120.86
Period P&L
$-1,423.36
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-3.95

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
3
Winners / Losers
0 / 3
Best Trade
-2.85%
Worst Trade
-5.40%
Avg Trade Return
-4.42%
Avg Hold Time
9.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$62,219.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,423.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,423.36
Gross Return
-12.33%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.33%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 3 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $11,544.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 30, 2025 9:30am ET $660.00 17 $11,220.00
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 3:50pm ET $626.94 17 $10,657.98 $10,982.20 $-562.02
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET $564.43 19 $10,724.26
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $533.94 19 $10,144.86 $10,402.80 $-579.40
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $617.33 16 $9,877.22
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $599.71 16 $9,595.28 $10,120.86 $-281.94
(-2.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,120.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$120.86
Total Return: +1.21%
Back to Yolanda YOLO