Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 23:34:37

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 11.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-9.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
34,413
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,662.20
Current Value
$10,830.19
Period P&L
$1,167.98
Max Drawdown
-18.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
6 / 11
Best Trade
+42.55%
Worst Trade
-14.03%
Avg Trade Return
+1.37%
Avg Hold Time
5.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$401,184.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,167.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,167.98
Gross Return
+12.09%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $9,662.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET $242.19 39 $9,445.22
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $229.03 39 $8,932.17 $9,149.16 $-513.05
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 10:10am ET $228.71 40 $9,148.20
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2025 9:30am ET $326.02 40 $13,040.80 $13,041.76 +$3,892.60
(+42.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
12d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2025 9:55am ET $313.90 41 $12,869.70
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 9:55am ET $298.00 41 $12,218.00 $12,390.07 $-651.69
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2025 10:00am ET $312.19 39 $12,175.41
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2025 9:30am ET $292.31 39 $11,400.09 $11,614.75 $-775.32
(-6.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 11:05am ET $271.93 42 $11,421.06
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 11:05am ET $299.44 42 $12,576.27 $12,769.96 +$1,155.21
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:40am ET $292.81 43 $12,590.83
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 12:10pm ET $278.08 43 $11,957.23 $12,136.35 $-633.61
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 11:50am ET $218.04 55 $11,992.20
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $205.55 55 $11,305.25 $11,449.40 $-686.95
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:35am ET $187.67 61 $11,448.10
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 9:30am ET $206.88 61 $12,619.68 $12,620.98 +$1,171.58
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $189.08 66 $12,479.28
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 10:25am ET $179.59 66 $11,853.18 $11,994.88 $-626.10
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
10 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:40am ET $166.22 72 $11,967.84
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $157.76 72 $11,358.72 $11,385.76 $-609.12
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET $146.62 77 $11,289.74
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $138.87 77 $10,692.99 $10,789.01 $-596.75
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:45am ET $140.98 76 $10,714.49
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 9:40am ET $155.26 76 $11,799.76 $11,874.28 +$1,085.27
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
10d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $150.82 78 $11,763.57
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:30am ET $166.00 78 $12,948.00 $13,058.71 +$1,184.43
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $176.40 74 $13,053.29
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $162.43 74 $12,019.82 $12,025.24 $-1,033.47
(-7.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
15 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:45am ET $184.52 65 $11,993.80
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 11:05am ET $203.71 65 $13,241.15 $13,272.59 +$1,247.35
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $231.41 57 $13,190.65
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $219.25 57 $12,497.25 $12,579.19 $-693.40
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $207.75 60 $12,465.00
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $178.60 60 $10,716.00 $10,830.19 $-1,749.00
(-14.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,830.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$830.19
Total Return: +8.30%
Back to Yolanda YOLO