Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 07:45:07

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.5/10
Raw Quality 3.4/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 3.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
33,862
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,709.53
Current Value
$9,123.75
Period P&L
$-4,585.81
Max Drawdown
-22.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
5 / 15
Best Trade
+10.84%
Worst Trade
-9.11%
Avg Trade Return
-1.78%
Avg Hold Time
5.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$546,424.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,585.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,585.81
Gross Return
-33.45%
Net Return (after fees)
-33.45%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $13,709.53 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2025 10:50am ET $13.03 1,052 $13,702.30
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 9:50am ET $12.37 1,052 $13,013.24 $13,020.51 $-689.06
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 6, 2025 10:45am ET $11.60 1,122 $13,015.20
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 10:50am ET $12.77 1,122 $14,327.94 $14,333.25 +$1,312.74
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
16d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2025 9:50am ET $13.89 1,032 $14,329.32
🔴 SELL Sep 12, 2025 11:40am ET $13.18 1,032 $13,596.60 $13,600.53 $-732.72
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:50am ET $14.13 962 $13,593.06
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2025 12:45pm ET $15.58 962 $14,989.79 $14,997.25 +$1,396.73
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 2, 2025 9:30am ET $13.46 1,114 $14,994.44
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:30am ET $12.70 1,114 $14,144.12 $14,146.94 $-850.32
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $12.69 1,115 $14,143.78
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 10:10am ET $14.06 1,115 $15,676.90 $15,680.06 +$1,533.13
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 11:10am ET $14.63 1,072 $15,678.00
🔴 SELL Nov 10, 2025 12:15pm ET $16.10 1,072 $17,253.84 $17,255.90 +$1,575.84
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET $17.08 1,010 $17,245.75
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $15.52 1,010 $15,675.20 $15,685.35 $-1,570.55
(-9.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
9 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:35am ET $14.58 1,075 $15,677.26
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 11:55am ET $16.09 1,075 $17,291.38 $17,299.47 +$1,614.11
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
9.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 10:40am ET $17.05 1,014 $17,288.70
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 1:15pm ET $16.00 1,014 $16,224.00 $16,234.77 $-1,064.70
(-6.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $18.54 875 $16,224.69
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 3:55pm ET $17.62 875 $15,413.13 $15,423.20 $-811.56
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 10:20am ET $20.90 737 $15,403.96
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:40am ET $19.82 737 $14,607.34 $14,626.58 $-796.62
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 10:35am ET $19.61 746 $14,625.33
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.88 746 $13,334.75 $13,336.00 $-1,290.58
(-8.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.37 767 $13,322.79
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:50am ET $16.44 767 $12,609.48 $12,622.69 $-713.31
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 10:15am ET $15.48 815 $12,612.13
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET $14.69 815 $11,972.35 $11,982.91 $-639.78
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:20am ET $16.14 742 $11,975.88
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:45am ET $15.22 742 $11,293.17 $11,300.20 $-682.71
(-5.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
17 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $15.47 730 $11,293.10
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:40am ET $14.60 730 $10,657.93 $10,665.03 $-635.17
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
18 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:40am ET $13.91 766 $10,655.06
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $13.21 766 $10,118.86 $10,128.83 $-536.20
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 10:40am ET $17.18 589 $10,121.96
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.32 589 $9,609.54 $9,616.40 $-512.43
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $16.27 590 $9,602.25
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $15.44 590 $9,109.60 $9,123.75 $-492.65
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,123.75
Net Profit/Loss: $-876.25
Total Return: -8.76%
Back to Yolanda YOLO