Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:15

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
13.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 21.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 21.0

30-Day Momentum

41
+25.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.0 Conf: 0.66×
Accelerating (+20 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
40,318
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
251 days
Data Gaps
1 day with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-11-28 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$4,929.68
Current Value
$13,866.54
Period P&L
$8,936.82
Max Drawdown
-68.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
43
Winners / Losers
22 / 21
Best Trade
+17.01%
Worst Trade
-11.24%
Avg Trade Return
+2.88%
Avg Hold Time
1.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$789,145.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$8,936.82
Net P&L (after fees)
$8,936.82
Gross Return
+181.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+181.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 251 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 43 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Yolanda YOLO had $4,929.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 6, 2025 9:30am ET $12.50 394 $4,924.80
🔴 SELL May 8, 2025 11:25am ET $13.77 394 $5,423.41 $5,428.34 +$498.61
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 19, 2025 9:30am ET $17.30 313 $5,413.34
🔴 SELL May 23, 2025 9:30am ET $15.50 313 $4,851.50 $4,866.50 $-561.84
(-10.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2025 9:30am ET $17.23 282 $4,858.86
🔴 SELL May 30, 2025 9:30am ET $15.64 282 $4,410.51 $4,418.15 $-448.35
(-9.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2025 11:20am ET $18.48 239 $4,415.53
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2025 9:30am ET $20.69 239 $4,943.72 $4,946.34 +$528.19
(+12.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 13, 2025 10:05am ET $20.51 241 $4,942.96
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2025 9:30am ET $23.77 241 $5,727.37 $5,730.75 +$784.41
(+15.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 10:15am ET $24.84 230 $5,713.20
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2025 9:30am ET $27.61 230 $6,350.30 $6,367.85 +$637.10
(+11.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2025 12:50pm ET $25.05 254 $6,361.43
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2025 10:00am ET $27.58 254 $7,005.32 $7,011.74 +$643.89
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2025 9:30am ET $25.22 278 $7,011.16
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $23.80 278 $6,616.43 $6,617.01 $-394.73
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2025 10:15am ET $24.82 266 $6,600.79
🔴 SELL Aug 22, 2025 9:30am ET $27.94 266 $7,432.04 $7,448.26 +$831.25
(+12.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $25.95 287 $7,447.22
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2025 9:30am ET $24.62 287 $7,066.23 $7,067.26 $-380.99
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2025 10:50am ET $29.30 241 $7,061.30
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $33.56 241 $8,086.76 $8,092.72 +$1,025.46
(+14.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.48 204 $8,053.92
🔴 SELL Oct 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $43.45 204 $8,863.70 $8,902.50 +$809.78
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:30am ET $37.42 237 $8,867.50
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 11:25am ET $35.33 237 $8,373.19 $8,408.19 $-494.31
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
14 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 11:50am ET $36.75 228 $8,379.00
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $40.92 228 $9,329.76 $9,358.95 +$950.76
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Oct 22, 2025 9:30am ET $37.06 252 $9,339.12
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $40.89 252 $10,304.10 $10,323.93 +$964.98
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
16 🟢 BUY Nov 4, 2025 9:30am ET $44.47 232 $10,317.06
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 11:35am ET $42.09 232 $9,764.88 $9,771.75 $-552.18
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Nov 6, 2025 9:30am ET $44.54 219 $9,755.25
🔴 SELL Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $39.89 219 $8,734.92 $8,751.43 $-1,020.32
(-10.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Nov 11, 2025 9:30am ET $42.29 206 $8,711.74
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $39.22 206 $8,078.29 $8,117.98 $-633.45
(-7.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 10:30am ET $35.66 227 $8,093.69
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 2:15pm ET $33.83 227 $7,679.41 $7,703.70 $-414.28
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
20 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 9:45am ET $32.13 239 $7,679.05
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:45am ET $30.47 239 $7,282.33 $7,306.98 $-396.72
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $42.21 173 $7,302.28
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET $39.95 173 $6,911.35 $6,916.06 $-390.93
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
22 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:30am ET $35.96 192 $6,903.36
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $42.07 192 $8,077.44 $8,090.14 +$1,174.08
(+17.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $49.42 163 $8,054.65
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET $54.44 163 $8,873.05 $8,908.54 +$818.41
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $57.43 155 $8,900.88
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $63.92 155 $9,907.60 $9,915.27 +$1,006.73
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $68.16 145 $9,883.74
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 9:30am ET $63.77 145 $9,245.93 $9,277.46 $-637.81
(-6.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
26 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:55am ET $61.43 151 $9,275.81
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $58.31 151 $8,804.81 $8,806.46 $-471.00
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $50.38 174 $8,766.12
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $57.49 174 $10,004.13 $10,044.47 +$1,238.01
(+14.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
28 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:45am ET $61.72 162 $9,998.64
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET $68.71 162 $11,131.02 $11,176.85 +$1,132.38
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
29 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.71 181 $11,168.68
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:30am ET $67.89 181 $12,288.09 $12,296.26 +$1,119.41
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
30 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 11:05am ET $64.11 191 $12,244.99
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $71.14 191 $13,587.74 $13,639.01 +$1,342.75
(+11.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
31 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:40am ET $68.15 200 $13,630.00
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:15am ET $64.00 200 $12,800.02 $12,809.03 $-829.98
(-6.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
32 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.17 220 $12,797.40
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 220 $12,078.00 $12,089.63 $-719.40
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
33 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 12:40pm ET $52.86 228 $12,052.08
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:10pm ET $50.02 228 $11,404.56 $11,442.11 $-647.52
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
34 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $54.60 209 $11,411.69
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $50.88 209 $10,633.90 $10,664.32 $-777.79
(-6.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
35 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET $50.99 209 $10,657.95
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:55am ET $56.15 209 $11,735.96 $11,742.32 +$1,078.00
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
36 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $52.78 222 $11,717.16
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.14 222 $11,131.08 $11,156.24 $-586.08
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $54.12 206 $11,148.88
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $51.07 206 $10,520.83 $10,528.19 $-628.05
(-5.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
38 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $44.44 236 $10,486.66
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $42.06 236 $9,926.18 $9,967.71 $-560.48
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
39 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 211 $9,942.32
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $52.26 211 $11,026.86 $11,052.25 +$1,084.54
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
40 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:55pm ET $79.91 138 $11,027.58
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:05am ET $88.10 138 $12,157.80 $12,182.47 +$1,130.22
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
41 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $108.45 112 $12,146.39
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $126.33 112 $14,148.96 $14,185.04 +$2,002.57
(+16.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
42 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET $122.00 116 $14,152.35
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $108.29 116 $12,561.87 $12,594.56 $-1,590.48
(-11.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
43 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:40am ET $126.14 99 $12,488.03
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:05am ET $138.99 99 $13,760.01 $13,866.54 +$1,271.98
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,866.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,866.54
Total Return: +38.67%
Back to Yolanda YOLO